Incumbent Susie Lee benefits from a modest Democratic lean in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, her multiple reelection victories in competitive cycles, and substantial early fundraising that has outpaced challenger Marty O’Donnell. Forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic following the June primaries, where both nominees secured their party’s nod. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including Lee’s established constituent relationships and the district’s recent voting patterns. A Republican upset would likely require a sharp national shift favoring the GOP, significantly higher turnout in Republican-leaning areas, or unforeseen developments such as major candidate-specific events in the final weeks before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於蘇茜·李(民主黨)
94%
馬丁·奧唐納(共和黨)
6%
蘇茜·李(民主黨)
94%
馬丁·奧唐納(共和黨)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Incumbent Susie Lee benefits from a modest Democratic lean in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District, her multiple reelection victories in competitive cycles, and substantial early fundraising that has outpaced challenger Marty O’Donnell. Forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic following the June primaries, where both nominees secured their party’s nod. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including Lee’s established constituent relationships and the district’s recent voting patterns. A Republican upset would likely require a sharp national shift favoring the GOP, significantly higher turnout in Republican-leaning areas, or unforeseen developments such as major candidate-specific events in the final weeks before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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