Yassamin Ansari's commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Arizona's 3rd congressional district stems from the area's consistent D+22 partisan voting index and her unopposed July 2026 primary win. The district, centered on parts of Phoenix and surrounding communities, delivered her a roughly 44-point margin in 2024, with forecasters across outlets rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic for the November 3 general election. Republican candidates have filed only as write-ins or minor-party options, reflecting limited fundraising and structural barriers in a majority-Latino electorate. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or late national political shift could still narrow the outcome before ballots close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$52,732 交易量
$52,732 交易量
2026-11-02
Yassamin Ansari（民主黨）
98%
共和黨
<1%
$52,732 交易量
$52,732 交易量
2026-11-02
Yassamin Ansari（民主黨）
$32,813 交易量
98%
共和黨
$19,919 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yassamin Ansari's commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Arizona's 3rd congressional district stems from the area's consistent D+22 partisan voting index and her unopposed July 2026 primary win. The district, centered on parts of Phoenix and surrounding communities, delivered her a roughly 44-point margin in 2024, with forecasters across outlets rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic for the November 3 general election. Republican candidates have filed only as write-ins or minor-party options, reflecting limited fundraising and structural barriers in a majority-Latino electorate. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or late national political shift could still narrow the outcome before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$52,732結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yassamin Ansari's commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Arizona's 3rd congressional district stems from the area's consistent D+22 partisan voting index and her unopposed July 2026 primary win. The district, centered on parts of Phoenix and surrounding communities, delivered her a roughly 44-point margin in 2024, with forecasters across outlets rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic for the November 3 general election. Republican candidates have filed only as write-ins or minor-party options, reflecting limited fundraising and structural barriers in a majority-Latino electorate. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or late national political shift could still narrow the outcome before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$52,732結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETYassamin Ansari's commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Arizona's 3rd congressional district stems from the area's consistent D+22 partisan voting index and her unopposed July 2026 primary win. The district, centered on parts of Phoenix and surrounding communities, delivered her a roughly 44-point margin in 2024, with forecasters across outlets rating the seat Solid or Safe Democratic for the November 3 general election. Republican candidates have filed only as write-ins or minor-party options, reflecting limited fundraising and structural barriers in a majority-Latino electorate. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or late national political shift could still narrow the outcome before ballots close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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