Joe Courtney's commanding position in the CT-02 House race stems from his nearly two-decade incumbency in a district with a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+4, where he secured roughly 58% in the prior cycle. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. George Austin, the GOP nominee and business owner, faces fundraising and name-recognition gaps against the entrenched incumbent. With trader consensus implying over 90% probability for Courtney, only late-cycle disruptions such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could realistically narrow the margin enough to alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$14,673 交易量
$14,673 交易量
2026-11-02
喬·寇特尼（民主黨）
95%
喬治·奧斯汀（共和黨）
6%
$14,673 交易量
$14,673 交易量
2026-11-02
喬·寇特尼（民主黨）
$8,539 交易量
95%
喬治·奧斯汀（共和黨）
$6,134 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Courtney's commanding position in the CT-02 House race stems from his nearly two-decade incumbency in a district with a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+4, where he secured roughly 58% in the prior cycle. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. George Austin, the GOP nominee and business owner, faces fundraising and name-recognition gaps against the entrenched incumbent. With trader consensus implying over 90% probability for Courtney, only late-cycle disruptions such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could realistically narrow the margin enough to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$14,673結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joe Courtney's commanding position in the CT-02 House race stems from his nearly two-decade incumbency in a district with a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+4, where he secured roughly 58% in the prior cycle. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. George Austin, the GOP nominee and business owner, faces fundraising and name-recognition gaps against the entrenched incumbent. With trader consensus implying over 90% probability for Courtney, only late-cycle disruptions such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could realistically narrow the margin enough to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,673結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETJoe Courtney's commanding position in the CT-02 House race stems from his nearly two-decade incumbency in a district with a Democratic Partisan Voter Index of D+4, where he secured roughly 58% in the prior cycle. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. George Austin, the GOP nominee and business owner, faces fundraising and name-recognition gaps against the entrenched incumbent. With trader consensus implying over 90% probability for Courtney, only late-cycle disruptions such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could realistically narrow the margin enough to alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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