Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes advances to the November 3, 2026 general election after an uncontested Democratic primary, facing Republican nominee Michael Goldstein—who prevailed in the August primary—and Independent Damon Cerreta. Multiple forecasters rate the southwestern Connecticut district as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and consistent margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors, including the incumbent's established record and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A shift would require unusual developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$47,340 交易量
$47,340 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·海姆斯（民主黨）
96%
麥可·高爾茲坦（共和黨）
4%
$47,340 交易量
$47,340 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·海姆斯（民主黨）
$21,773 交易量
96%
麥可·高爾茲坦（共和黨）
$25,567 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes advances to the November 3, 2026 general election after an uncontested Democratic primary, facing Republican nominee Michael Goldstein—who prevailed in the August primary—and Independent Damon Cerreta. Multiple forecasters rate the southwestern Connecticut district as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and consistent margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors, including the incumbent's established record and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A shift would require unusual developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$47,340結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Himes advances to the November 3, 2026 general election after an uncontested Democratic primary, facing Republican nominee Michael Goldstein—who prevailed in the August primary—and Independent Damon Cerreta. Multiple forecasters rate the southwestern Connecticut district as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and consistent margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors, including the incumbent's established record and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A shift would require unusual developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$47,340結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Jim Himes advances to the November 3, 2026 general election after an uncontested Democratic primary, facing Republican nominee Michael Goldstein—who prevailed in the August primary—and Independent Damon Cerreta. Multiple forecasters rate the southwestern Connecticut district as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and consistent margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors, including the incumbent's established record and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A shift would require unusual developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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