Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district, anchored in New Haven and surrounding areas, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+8 and has been held continuously by Democrats since 2006. Longtime incumbent Rosa DeLauro faces only modest primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest and enters the general election with a substantial fundraising edge and the structural advantages of incumbency in a reliably Democratic seat. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the current trader consensus that assigns the Republican nominee just a low-single-digit chance of victory. A late retirement, unusually large national Republican wave, or unforeseen primary upset would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$10,742 交易量
$10,742 交易量
民主黨
94%
共和黨
7%
$10,742 交易量
$10,742 交易量
民主黨
94%
共和黨
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district, anchored in New Haven and surrounding areas, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+8 and has been held continuously by Democrats since 2006. Longtime incumbent Rosa DeLauro faces only modest primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest and enters the general election with a substantial fundraising edge and the structural advantages of incumbency in a reliably Democratic seat. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the current trader consensus that assigns the Republican nominee just a low-single-digit chance of victory. A late retirement, unusually large national Republican wave, or unforeseen primary upset would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions