Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s Republican lean after recent redistricting and his prior victories. Carey advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Don Leonard narrowly defeated Adam Miller in the Democratic contest. Race ratings from nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Likely Republican. A mid-2026 Democratic poll showed Carey leading Leonard by five points in a three-way race, consistent with the district’s partisan voter index and Carey’s substantial fundraising edge. Leonard’s campaign has focused on mobilizing Democratic voters in the Columbus suburbs, but the structural advantages for the incumbent have shaped trader consensus around these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$12,672 交易量
$12,672 交易量
2026-11-02
麥克·凱瑞（共和黨）
78%
唐·倫納德（民主黨）
21%
$12,672 交易量
$12,672 交易量
2026-11-02
麥克·凱瑞（共和黨）
$4,947 交易量
78%
唐·倫納德（民主黨）
$7,725 交易量
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s Republican lean after recent redistricting and his prior victories. Carey advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Don Leonard narrowly defeated Adam Miller in the Democratic contest. Race ratings from nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Likely Republican. A mid-2026 Democratic poll showed Carey leading Leonard by five points in a three-way race, consistent with the district’s partisan voter index and Carey’s substantial fundraising edge. Leonard’s campaign has focused on mobilizing Democratic voters in the Columbus suburbs, but the structural advantages for the incumbent have shaped trader consensus around these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$12,672結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s Republican lean after recent redistricting and his prior victories. Carey advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Don Leonard narrowly defeated Adam Miller in the Democratic contest. Race ratings from nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Likely Republican. A mid-2026 Democratic poll showed Carey leading Leonard by five points in a three-way race, consistent with the district’s partisan voter index and Carey’s substantial fundraising edge. Leonard’s campaign has focused on mobilizing Democratic voters in the Columbus suburbs, but the structural advantages for the incumbent have shaped trader consensus around these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,672結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district’s Republican lean after recent redistricting and his prior victories. Carey advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Don Leonard narrowly defeated Adam Miller in the Democratic contest. Race ratings from nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Likely Republican. A mid-2026 Democratic poll showed Carey leading Leonard by five points in a three-way race, consistent with the district’s partisan voter index and Carey’s substantial fundraising edge. Leonard’s campaign has focused on mobilizing Democratic voters in the Columbus suburbs, but the structural advantages for the incumbent have shaped trader consensus around these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions