Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by substantial fundraising advantages and consistent “Likely Republican” or “Solid Republican” ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Carey advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Democrat Don Leonard narrowly secured his party’s nomination. Recent Democratic-sponsored polling from Hart Research showed Carey leading Leonard by single digits in June and August surveys, though a Libertarian candidate drew notable support in the later poll. The district’s suburban Columbus composition and Carey’s incumbency provide structural advantages that align with current trader consensus on the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$12,672 交易量
$12,672 交易量
2026-11-02
麥克·凱瑞（共和黨）
78%
唐·倫納德（民主黨）
21%
$12,672 交易量
$12,672 交易量
2026-11-02
麥克·凱瑞（共和黨）
$4,947 交易量
78%
唐·倫納德（民主黨）
$7,725 交易量
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by substantial fundraising advantages and consistent “Likely Republican” or “Solid Republican” ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Carey advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Democrat Don Leonard narrowly secured his party’s nomination. Recent Democratic-sponsored polling from Hart Research showed Carey leading Leonard by single digits in June and August surveys, though a Libertarian candidate drew notable support in the later poll. The district’s suburban Columbus composition and Carey’s incumbency provide structural advantages that align with current trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$12,672結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by substantial fundraising advantages and consistent “Likely Republican” or “Solid Republican” ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Carey advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Democrat Don Leonard narrowly secured his party’s nomination. Recent Democratic-sponsored polling from Hart Research showed Carey leading Leonard by single digits in June and August surveys, though a Libertarian candidate drew notable support in the later poll. The district’s suburban Columbus composition and Carey’s incumbency provide structural advantages that align with current trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,672結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a strong position in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by substantial fundraising advantages and consistent “Likely Republican” or “Solid Republican” ratings from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Carey advanced unopposed in the May Republican primary, while Democrat Don Leonard narrowly secured his party’s nomination. Recent Democratic-sponsored polling from Hart Research showed Carey leading Leonard by single digits in June and August surveys, though a Libertarian candidate drew notable support in the later poll. The district’s suburban Columbus composition and Carey’s incumbency provide structural advantages that align with current trader consensus on the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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