Incumbent Republican David Joyce holds a commanding lead in Ohio’s 14th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in baseline partisan data showing roughly a 16-point GOP advantage, combined with his long tenure since 2013 and decisive primary win. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Challenger Maria Jukic, who secured the Democratic nomination in May, faces structural headwinds typical for candidates in this district. While trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan swing could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$43,226 交易量
$43,226 交易量
2026-11-02
大衛·喬伊斯（共和黨）
94%
瑪麗亞·朱基奇（民主黨）
6%
$43,226 交易量
$43,226 交易量
2026-11-02
大衛·喬伊斯（共和黨）
$25,207 交易量
94%
瑪麗亞·朱基奇（民主黨）
$18,019 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Joyce holds a commanding lead in Ohio’s 14th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in baseline partisan data showing roughly a 16-point GOP advantage, combined with his long tenure since 2013 and decisive primary win. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Challenger Maria Jukic, who secured the Democratic nomination in May, faces structural headwinds typical for candidates in this district. While trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan swing could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$43,226結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Joyce holds a commanding lead in Ohio’s 14th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in baseline partisan data showing roughly a 16-point GOP advantage, combined with his long tenure since 2013 and decisive primary win. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Challenger Maria Jukic, who secured the Democratic nomination in May, faces structural headwinds typical for candidates in this district. While trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan swing could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$43,226結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Republican David Joyce holds a commanding lead in Ohio’s 14th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in baseline partisan data showing roughly a 16-point GOP advantage, combined with his long tenure since 2013 and decisive primary win. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Challenger Maria Jukic, who secured the Democratic nomination in May, faces structural headwinds typical for candidates in this district. While trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan swing could still narrow the margin before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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