Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured a strong position in Ohio’s 6th congressional district after defeating his primary challenger by a wide margin in May 2026, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a fragmented field to claim her party’s nomination. The district’s R+16 partisan voting index, rural and Appalachian makeup, and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles—including Rulli’s 2024 general election margin—underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Forecasters across outlets have rated the seat solid or safe Republican. A significant national political shift, major scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout before the November 3 general election represent the main factors that could narrow the outcome, though such developments appear low-probability based on available evidence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$68,496 交易量
$68,496 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
95%
民主黨
5%
$68,496 交易量
$68,496 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$25,720 交易量
95%
民主黨
$42,777 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured a strong position in Ohio’s 6th congressional district after defeating his primary challenger by a wide margin in May 2026, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a fragmented field to claim her party’s nomination. The district’s R+16 partisan voting index, rural and Appalachian makeup, and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles—including Rulli’s 2024 general election margin—underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Forecasters across outlets have rated the seat solid or safe Republican. A significant national political shift, major scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout before the November 3 general election represent the main factors that could narrow the outcome, though such developments appear low-probability based on available evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$68,496結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured a strong position in Ohio’s 6th congressional district after defeating his primary challenger by a wide margin in May 2026, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a fragmented field to claim her party’s nomination. The district’s R+16 partisan voting index, rural and Appalachian makeup, and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles—including Rulli’s 2024 general election margin—underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Forecasters across outlets have rated the seat solid or safe Republican. A significant national political shift, major scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout before the November 3 general election represent the main factors that could narrow the outcome, though such developments appear low-probability based on available evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$68,496結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Republican Michael Rulli secured a strong position in Ohio’s 6th congressional district after defeating his primary challenger by a wide margin in May 2026, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a fragmented field to claim her party’s nomination. The district’s R+16 partisan voting index, rural and Appalachian makeup, and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles—including Rulli’s 2024 general election margin—underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Forecasters across outlets have rated the seat solid or safe Republican. A significant national political shift, major scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout before the November 3 general election represent the main factors that could narrow the outcome, though such developments appear low-probability based on available evidence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions