Incumbent Tim Burchett holds a commanding position in Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+17 anchored by Knoxville. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, Burchett’s primary victory without opposition, and his 2024 general election margin of nearly 20 points underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Recent campaign focus on regulating data centers has not altered the structural advantages of incumbency or the limited fundraising and visibility for Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett. All major forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout driven by local issues could still narrow the margin, though historical base rates in similar districts make such shifts unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$33,323 交易量
$33,323 交易量
2026-11-02
提姆·布爾切特（共和黨）
96%
Michaela Barnett（民主黨）
6%
$33,323 交易量
$33,323 交易量
2026-11-02
提姆·布爾切特（共和黨）
$20,054 交易量
96%
Michaela Barnett（民主黨）
$13,269 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tim Burchett holds a commanding position in Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+17 anchored by Knoxville. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, Burchett’s primary victory without opposition, and his 2024 general election margin of nearly 20 points underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Recent campaign focus on regulating data centers has not altered the structural advantages of incumbency or the limited fundraising and visibility for Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett. All major forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout driven by local issues could still narrow the margin, though historical base rates in similar districts make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$33,323結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tim Burchett holds a commanding position in Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+17 anchored by Knoxville. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, Burchett’s primary victory without opposition, and his 2024 general election margin of nearly 20 points underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Recent campaign focus on regulating data centers has not altered the structural advantages of incumbency or the limited fundraising and visibility for Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett. All major forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout driven by local issues could still narrow the margin, though historical base rates in similar districts make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,323結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Tim Burchett holds a commanding position in Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District, a seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+17 anchored by Knoxville. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, Burchett’s primary victory without opposition, and his 2024 general election margin of nearly 20 points underpin trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Recent campaign focus on regulating data centers has not altered the structural advantages of incumbency or the limited fundraising and visibility for Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett. All major forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic turnout driven by local issues could still narrow the margin, though historical base rates in similar districts make such shifts unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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