Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination in Tennessee’s 6th congressional district after prevailing in the August 6 primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in this solidly Republican seat formerly held by retiring incumbent John Rose. The district’s partisan voter index and consistent historical voting patterns underpin trader consensus reflected in the current odds, with forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Republican. Garrett’s state legislative record on immigration and related issues, combined with endorsements from House leadership and prominent conservatives, reinforced his primary advantage over Van Hilleary. Democratic nominee Mike Croley faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Late developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$14,321 交易量
$14,321 交易量
2026-11-02
強尼·賈瑞特（共和黨）
95%
Mike Croley（民主黨）
6%
$14,321 交易量
$14,321 交易量
2026-11-02
強尼·賈瑞特（共和黨）
$9,020 交易量
95%
Mike Croley（民主黨）
$5,301 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination in Tennessee’s 6th congressional district after prevailing in the August 6 primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in this solidly Republican seat formerly held by retiring incumbent John Rose. The district’s partisan voter index and consistent historical voting patterns underpin trader consensus reflected in the current odds, with forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Republican. Garrett’s state legislative record on immigration and related issues, combined with endorsements from House leadership and prominent conservatives, reinforced his primary advantage over Van Hilleary. Democratic nominee Mike Croley faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Late developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$14,321結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Johnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination in Tennessee’s 6th congressional district after prevailing in the August 6 primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in this solidly Republican seat formerly held by retiring incumbent John Rose. The district’s partisan voter index and consistent historical voting patterns underpin trader consensus reflected in the current odds, with forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Republican. Garrett’s state legislative record on immigration and related issues, combined with endorsements from House leadership and prominent conservatives, reinforced his primary advantage over Van Hilleary. Democratic nominee Mike Croley faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Late developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,321結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETJohnny Garrett secured the Republican nomination in Tennessee’s 6th congressional district after prevailing in the August 6 primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in this solidly Republican seat formerly held by retiring incumbent John Rose. The district’s partisan voter index and consistent historical voting patterns underpin trader consensus reflected in the current odds, with forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Republican. Garrett’s state legislative record on immigration and related issues, combined with endorsements from House leadership and prominent conservatives, reinforced his primary advantage over Van Hilleary. Democratic nominee Mike Croley faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Late developments such as candidate health events, major scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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