Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in the Tennessee 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 29.5-point 2024 margin and the seat's solid Republican rating from forecasters. She won her primary unopposed after prior victories by margins near 58 points, while Democrat Kristi Burke advanced from a low-turnout primary against limited competition. Harshbarger maintains a substantial fundraising edge, and the district has remained in Republican hands since 1881. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent developments that would narrow the gap. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include major late-cycle scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or sharp shifts in national midterm dynamics that boost Democratic turnout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$27,113 交易量
$27,113 交易量
2026-11-02
黛安娜·哈什巴格（共和黨）
98%
克莉絲蒂·柏克（民主黨）
3%
$27,113 交易量
$27,113 交易量
2026-11-02
黛安娜·哈什巴格（共和黨）
$21,678 交易量
98%
克莉絲蒂·柏克（民主黨）
$5,435 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in the Tennessee 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 29.5-point 2024 margin and the seat's solid Republican rating from forecasters. She won her primary unopposed after prior victories by margins near 58 points, while Democrat Kristi Burke advanced from a low-turnout primary against limited competition. Harshbarger maintains a substantial fundraising edge, and the district has remained in Republican hands since 1881. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent developments that would narrow the gap. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include major late-cycle scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or sharp shifts in national midterm dynamics that boost Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$27,113結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in the Tennessee 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 29.5-point 2024 margin and the seat's solid Republican rating from forecasters. She won her primary unopposed after prior victories by margins near 58 points, while Democrat Kristi Burke advanced from a low-turnout primary against limited competition. Harshbarger maintains a substantial fundraising edge, and the district has remained in Republican hands since 1881. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent developments that would narrow the gap. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include major late-cycle scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or sharp shifts in national midterm dynamics that boost Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,113結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in the Tennessee 1st congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 29.5-point 2024 margin and the seat's solid Republican rating from forecasters. She won her primary unopposed after prior victories by margins near 58 points, while Democrat Kristi Burke advanced from a low-turnout primary against limited competition. Harshbarger maintains a substantial fundraising edge, and the district has remained in Republican hands since 1881. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent developments that would narrow the gap. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include major late-cycle scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or sharp shifts in national midterm dynamics that boost Democratic turnout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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