Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee 3rd congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Partisan Voter Index and his 67.5% victory in 2024. He advanced unopposed through the August 6 primary, while Democrat Anna Golladay won her primary with nearly 80% of the vote but trails significantly in fundraising, having raised under $60,000 compared to Fleischmann’s more than $1.8 million. Multiple independent candidates also appear on the November 3 ballot. Race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the district as Solid Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Fleischmann aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$38,073 交易量
$38,073 交易量
查克·弗萊施曼(共和黨)
95%
安娜·戈拉戴(民主黨)
6%
$38,073 交易量
$38,073 交易量
查克·弗萊施曼(共和黨)
95%
安娜·戈拉戴(民主黨)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Incumbent Republican Chuck Fleischmann holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee 3rd congressional district race due to the seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Partisan Voter Index and his 67.5% victory in 2024. He advanced unopposed through the August 6 primary, while Democrat Anna Golladay won her primary with nearly 80% of the vote but trails significantly in fundraising, having raised under $60,000 compared to Fleischmann’s more than $1.8 million. Multiple independent candidates also appear on the November 3 ballot. Race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the district as Solid Republican. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Fleischmann aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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