Missouri's 5th congressional district shifted sharply toward Republicans following mid-decade redistricting that added rural, conservative counties east of Kansas City while redistributing urban Democratic strongholds. The new map produced an R+9 Partisan Voter Index, prompting race raters including Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver advanced unopposed in the August 4 primary, while state Senator Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination with 45 percent of the vote. These structural changes, upheld by the Missouri Supreme Court, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 3 general election, though Cleaver's name recognition remains a factor in a district that previously supported Democrats.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$10,775 交易量
$10,775 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
16%
$10,775 交易量
$10,775 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$8,060 交易量
84%
Democratic Party
$2,716 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 5th congressional district shifted sharply toward Republicans following mid-decade redistricting that added rural, conservative counties east of Kansas City while redistributing urban Democratic strongholds. The new map produced an R+9 Partisan Voter Index, prompting race raters including Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver advanced unopposed in the August 4 primary, while state Senator Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination with 45 percent of the vote. These structural changes, upheld by the Missouri Supreme Court, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 3 general election, though Cleaver's name recognition remains a factor in a district that previously supported Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
交易量
$10,775結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 5th congressional district shifted sharply toward Republicans following mid-decade redistricting that added rural, conservative counties east of Kansas City while redistributing urban Democratic strongholds. The new map produced an R+9 Partisan Voter Index, prompting race raters including Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver advanced unopposed in the August 4 primary, while state Senator Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination with 45 percent of the vote. These structural changes, upheld by the Missouri Supreme Court, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 3 general election, though Cleaver's name recognition remains a factor in a district that previously supported Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,775結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETMissouri's 5th congressional district shifted sharply toward Republicans following mid-decade redistricting that added rural, conservative counties east of Kansas City while redistributing urban Democratic strongholds. The new map produced an R+9 Partisan Voter Index, prompting race raters including Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball to classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver advanced unopposed in the August 4 primary, while state Senator Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination with 45 percent of the vote. These structural changes, upheld by the Missouri Supreme Court, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 3 general election, though Cleaver's name recognition remains a factor in a district that previously supported Democrats.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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