The competitive character of Michigan’s 7th congressional district drives current trader positioning, with first-term Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing Democratic nominee William Lawrence in a seat rated toss-up by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s mix of suburban, university, and labor-heavy areas around Lansing produces a narrow or neutral partisan baseline, while the broader 2026 midterm environment historically favors the party out of power. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary, consolidating support after a divided field. Traders reflect this balance through a modest Democratic lean, consistent with the seat’s status as a key target for House control amid limited recent general-election polling and the two-month window until November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$17,754 交易量
$17,754 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
61%
共和黨
38%
$17,754 交易量
$17,754 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$11,956 交易量
61%
共和黨
$5,799 交易量
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive character of Michigan’s 7th congressional district drives current trader positioning, with first-term Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing Democratic nominee William Lawrence in a seat rated toss-up by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s mix of suburban, university, and labor-heavy areas around Lansing produces a narrow or neutral partisan baseline, while the broader 2026 midterm environment historically favors the party out of power. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary, consolidating support after a divided field. Traders reflect this balance through a modest Democratic lean, consistent with the seat’s status as a key target for House control amid limited recent general-election polling and the two-month window until November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$17,754結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive character of Michigan’s 7th congressional district drives current trader positioning, with first-term Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing Democratic nominee William Lawrence in a seat rated toss-up by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s mix of suburban, university, and labor-heavy areas around Lansing produces a narrow or neutral partisan baseline, while the broader 2026 midterm environment historically favors the party out of power. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary, consolidating support after a divided field. Traders reflect this balance through a modest Democratic lean, consistent with the seat’s status as a key target for House control amid limited recent general-election polling and the two-month window until November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,754結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETThe competitive character of Michigan’s 7th congressional district drives current trader positioning, with first-term Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing Democratic nominee William Lawrence in a seat rated toss-up by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s mix of suburban, university, and labor-heavy areas around Lansing produces a narrow or neutral partisan baseline, while the broader 2026 midterm environment historically favors the party out of power. Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary, consolidating support after a divided field. Traders reflect this balance through a modest Democratic lean, consistent with the seat’s status as a key target for House control amid limited recent general-election polling and the two-month window until November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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