Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in the Pennsylvania 9th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and repeated double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential and Senate contests. As the unopposed incumbent since 2019, Meuser benefits from strong name recognition, established fundraising networks exceeding $1.6 million, and broad institutional support within the party. Rachel Wallace, the Democratic nominee who also ran unopposed in the May primary, faces structural headwinds including a sizable Republican registration advantage across the district’s rural and small-city counties. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$22,210 交易量
$22,210 交易量
2026-11-02
丹・梅瑟（共和黨）
96%
瑞秋·華萊士（民主黨）
4%
$22,210 交易量
$22,210 交易量
2026-11-02
丹・梅瑟（共和黨）
$14,388 交易量
96%
瑞秋·華萊士（民主黨）
$7,822 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in the Pennsylvania 9th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and repeated double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential and Senate contests. As the unopposed incumbent since 2019, Meuser benefits from strong name recognition, established fundraising networks exceeding $1.6 million, and broad institutional support within the party. Rachel Wallace, the Democratic nominee who also ran unopposed in the May primary, faces structural headwinds including a sizable Republican registration advantage across the district’s rural and small-city counties. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$22,210結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dan Meuser holds a commanding position in the Pennsylvania 9th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and repeated double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential and Senate contests. As the unopposed incumbent since 2019, Meuser benefits from strong name recognition, established fundraising networks exceeding $1.6 million, and broad institutional support within the party. Rachel Wallace, the Democratic nominee who also ran unopposed in the May primary, faces structural headwinds including a sizable Republican registration advantage across the district’s rural and small-city counties. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,210結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETDan Meuser holds a commanding position in the Pennsylvania 9th congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and repeated double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential and Senate contests. As the unopposed incumbent since 2019, Meuser benefits from strong name recognition, established fundraising networks exceeding $1.6 million, and broad institutional support within the party. Rachel Wallace, the Democratic nominee who also ran unopposed in the May primary, faces structural headwinds including a sizable Republican registration advantage across the district’s rural and small-city counties. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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