Nellie Pou holds a commanding lead in the New Jersey 9th congressional district race due to her status as the Democratic incumbent, substantial fundraising advantage, and consistent "Likely Democratic" or "Lean Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. The district shifted rightward after 2021 redistricting and the 2024 death of longtime Representative Bill Pascrell, with Donald Trump carrying it narrowly that year and Pou winning her first term by under five points. Rosie Pino secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a seat that has not elected a Republican since the 1980s. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals while leaving room for late-cycle shifts from national political conditions or unexpected campaign developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,589 交易量
$24,589 交易量
2026-11-03
Nellie Pou（民主黨）
92%
羅西·皮諾（共和黨）
8%
$24,589 交易量
$24,589 交易量
2026-11-03
Nellie Pou（民主黨）
$12,304 交易量
92%
羅西·皮諾（共和黨）
$12,286 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nellie Pou holds a commanding lead in the New Jersey 9th congressional district race due to her status as the Democratic incumbent, substantial fundraising advantage, and consistent "Likely Democratic" or "Lean Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. The district shifted rightward after 2021 redistricting and the 2024 death of longtime Representative Bill Pascrell, with Donald Trump carrying it narrowly that year and Pou winning her first term by under five points. Rosie Pino secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a seat that has not elected a Republican since the 1980s. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals while leaving room for late-cycle shifts from national political conditions or unexpected campaign developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ET
交易量
$24,589結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nellie Pou holds a commanding lead in the New Jersey 9th congressional district race due to her status as the Democratic incumbent, substantial fundraising advantage, and consistent "Likely Democratic" or "Lean Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. The district shifted rightward after 2021 redistricting and the 2024 death of longtime Representative Bill Pascrell, with Donald Trump carrying it narrowly that year and Pou winning her first term by under five points. Rosie Pino secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a seat that has not elected a Republican since the 1980s. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals while leaving room for late-cycle shifts from national political conditions or unexpected campaign developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,589結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETNellie Pou holds a commanding lead in the New Jersey 9th congressional district race due to her status as the Democratic incumbent, substantial fundraising advantage, and consistent "Likely Democratic" or "Lean Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. The district shifted rightward after 2021 redistricting and the 2024 death of longtime Representative Bill Pascrell, with Donald Trump carrying it narrowly that year and Pou winning her first term by under five points. Rosie Pino secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a seat that has not elected a Republican since the 1980s. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals while leaving room for late-cycle shifts from national political conditions or unexpected campaign developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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