Rob Menendez secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 8th congressional district after defeating progressive challenger Mussab Ali by a wide margin in the June 2026 primary. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent presidential cycles, combined with Menendez’s incumbency and local party endorsements, has produced broad trader consensus around his general election prospects. No Republican candidate filed for the November ballot, leaving only minor third-party options. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected surge by an independent could still alter the outcome, though the structural and organizational advantages favor the Democratic incumbent through election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$15,630 交易量
$15,630 交易量
2026-11-02
羅伯·梅嫩德斯（民主黨）
95%
共和黨
6%
$15,630 交易量
$15,630 交易量
2026-11-02
羅伯·梅嫩德斯（民主黨）
$9,439 交易量
95%
共和黨
$6,191 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rob Menendez secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 8th congressional district after defeating progressive challenger Mussab Ali by a wide margin in the June 2026 primary. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent presidential cycles, combined with Menendez’s incumbency and local party endorsements, has produced broad trader consensus around his general election prospects. No Republican candidate filed for the November ballot, leaving only minor third-party options. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected surge by an independent could still alter the outcome, though the structural and organizational advantages favor the Democratic incumbent through election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$15,630結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rob Menendez secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 8th congressional district after defeating progressive challenger Mussab Ali by a wide margin in the June 2026 primary. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent presidential cycles, combined with Menendez’s incumbency and local party endorsements, has produced broad trader consensus around his general election prospects. No Republican candidate filed for the November ballot, leaving only minor third-party options. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected surge by an independent could still alter the outcome, though the structural and organizational advantages favor the Democratic incumbent through election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,630結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRob Menendez secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 8th congressional district after defeating progressive challenger Mussab Ali by a wide margin in the June 2026 primary. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent performance in recent presidential cycles, combined with Menendez’s incumbency and local party endorsements, has produced broad trader consensus around his general election prospects. No Republican candidate filed for the November ballot, leaving only minor third-party options. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unexpected surge by an independent could still alter the outcome, though the structural and organizational advantages favor the Democratic incumbent through election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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