**Rebecca Bennett holds a commanding lead in the NJ-07 House race** because her strong Democratic primary performance, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s narrow partisan lean have combined with sustained questions about incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, won her June 2 primary by a wide margin and has raised more than $4 million, largely from small donors. Kean returned to the House floor on June 30 after missing roughly 140 votes while hospitalized for depression, an episode that Democratic campaigns and outside groups have kept in focus. The seat, which Trump carried by about one point in 2024, is rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters. Recent joint calls by both candidates for an investigation into unrelated state-level allegations have not altered the underlying dynamics. Traders appear to view Bennett’s structural advantages and the incumbent’s recovery timeline as decisive factors heading into the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$18,967 交易量
$18,967 交易量
2026-11-03
麗貝卡·班尼特（民主黨）
77%
湯瑪斯·基恩二世（共和黨）
22%
$18,967 交易量
$18,967 交易量
2026-11-03
麗貝卡·班尼特（民主黨）
$4,164 交易量
77%
湯瑪斯·基恩二世（共和黨）
$14,803 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Rebecca Bennett holds a commanding lead in the NJ-07 House race** because her strong Democratic primary performance, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s narrow partisan lean have combined with sustained questions about incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, won her June 2 primary by a wide margin and has raised more than $4 million, largely from small donors. Kean returned to the House floor on June 30 after missing roughly 140 votes while hospitalized for depression, an episode that Democratic campaigns and outside groups have kept in focus. The seat, which Trump carried by about one point in 2024, is rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters. Recent joint calls by both candidates for an investigation into unrelated state-level allegations have not altered the underlying dynamics. Traders appear to view Bennett’s structural advantages and the incumbent’s recovery timeline as decisive factors heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$18,967結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Rebecca Bennett holds a commanding lead in the NJ-07 House race** because her strong Democratic primary performance, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s narrow partisan lean have combined with sustained questions about incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, won her June 2 primary by a wide margin and has raised more than $4 million, largely from small donors. Kean returned to the House floor on June 30 after missing roughly 140 votes while hospitalized for depression, an episode that Democratic campaigns and outside groups have kept in focus. The seat, which Trump carried by about one point in 2024, is rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters. Recent joint calls by both candidates for an investigation into unrelated state-level allegations have not altered the underlying dynamics. Traders appear to view Bennett’s structural advantages and the incumbent’s recovery timeline as decisive factors heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,967結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET**Rebecca Bennett holds a commanding lead in the NJ-07 House race** because her strong Democratic primary performance, substantial fundraising edge, and the district’s narrow partisan lean have combined with sustained questions about incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s extended absence from Congress. Bennett, a former Navy helicopter pilot, won her June 2 primary by a wide margin and has raised more than $4 million, largely from small donors. Kean returned to the House floor on June 30 after missing roughly 140 votes while hospitalized for depression, an episode that Democratic campaigns and outside groups have kept in focus. The seat, which Trump carried by about one point in 2024, is rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by most forecasters. Recent joint calls by both candidates for an investigation into unrelated state-level allegations have not altered the underlying dynamics. Traders appear to view Bennett’s structural advantages and the incumbent’s recovery timeline as decisive factors heading into the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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