Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan secured the nomination after defeating his primary challenger by a wide margin in March 2026, while Democrat Ashley Bell advanced from a crowded field. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 under the current congressional map, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican. Harrigan has raised over $1 million compared to Bell’s far lower totals, consistent with historical patterns in this western North Carolina district. A March poll showed Harrigan ahead by double digits. These elements underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape ahead of the final two months of campaigning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
7%
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan secured the nomination after defeating his primary challenger by a wide margin in March 2026, while Democrat Ashley Bell advanced from a crowded field. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 under the current congressional map, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican. Harrigan has raised over $1 million compared to Bell’s far lower totals, consistent with historical patterns in this western North Carolina district. A March poll showed Harrigan ahead by double digits. These elements underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape ahead of the final two months of campaigning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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