Redistricting approved by Florida’s Republican-controlled legislature and signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District southward and eastward, incorporating more conservative counties including Indian River, Highlands, Glades, and Okeechobee while reducing its share of heavily Democratic Orange County and its large Puerto Rican population. This map change moved the seat from a prior Democratic stronghold to one rated Likely Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed through the August Democratic primary, while Dan Green narrowly won the crowded Republican primary. A late-August poll showed Green and Soto tied at 41 percent. With the November 3 general election approaching, traders assign the Republican nominee the leading probability based on the altered district composition and resulting partisan tilt.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$19,501 交易量
$19,501 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
62%
民主黨
36%
$19,501 交易量
$19,501 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$11,419 交易量
62%
民主黨
$8,082 交易量
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by Florida’s Republican-controlled legislature and signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District southward and eastward, incorporating more conservative counties including Indian River, Highlands, Glades, and Okeechobee while reducing its share of heavily Democratic Orange County and its large Puerto Rican population. This map change moved the seat from a prior Democratic stronghold to one rated Likely Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed through the August Democratic primary, while Dan Green narrowly won the crowded Republican primary. A late-August poll showed Green and Soto tied at 41 percent. With the November 3 general election approaching, traders assign the Republican nominee the leading probability based on the altered district composition and resulting partisan tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
交易量
$19,501結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by Florida’s Republican-controlled legislature and signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District southward and eastward, incorporating more conservative counties including Indian River, Highlands, Glades, and Okeechobee while reducing its share of heavily Democratic Orange County and its large Puerto Rican population. This map change moved the seat from a prior Democratic stronghold to one rated Likely Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed through the August Democratic primary, while Dan Green narrowly won the crowded Republican primary. A late-August poll showed Green and Soto tied at 41 percent. With the November 3 general election approaching, traders assign the Republican nominee the leading probability based on the altered district composition and resulting partisan tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,501結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETRedistricting approved by Florida’s Republican-controlled legislature and signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis shifted Florida’s 9th Congressional District southward and eastward, incorporating more conservative counties including Indian River, Highlands, Glades, and Okeechobee while reducing its share of heavily Democratic Orange County and its large Puerto Rican population. This map change moved the seat from a prior Democratic stronghold to one rated Likely Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto advanced unopposed through the August Democratic primary, while Dan Green narrowly won the crowded Republican primary. A late-August poll showed Green and Soto tied at 41 percent. With the November 3 general election approaching, traders assign the Republican nominee the leading probability based on the altered district composition and resulting partisan tilt.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions