Incumbent Democrat Maxwell Frost faces no Republican opponent in Florida’s 10th congressional district after the June 2026 filing deadline passed with no qualifying challengers, leading Florida officials to cancel both the primary and general elections under state law. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and delivered Frost a 62-point margin in 2024, consistent with its urban Orlando core and long Democratic performance in presidential and House races. With only Frost on the ballot, traders assign the Democratic Party a 97.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat for the 120th Congress. A Republican victory would require an unforeseen disqualification, successful write-in effort, or last-minute procedural reversal before the November 2026 resolution window, none of which have materialized in recent filings or court actions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$23,520 交易量
$23,520 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
98%
共和黨
1%
$23,520 交易量
$23,520 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$15,786 交易量
98%
共和黨
$7,734 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maxwell Frost faces no Republican opponent in Florida’s 10th congressional district after the June 2026 filing deadline passed with no qualifying challengers, leading Florida officials to cancel both the primary and general elections under state law. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and delivered Frost a 62-point margin in 2024, consistent with its urban Orlando core and long Democratic performance in presidential and House races. With only Frost on the ballot, traders assign the Democratic Party a 97.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat for the 120th Congress. A Republican victory would require an unforeseen disqualification, successful write-in effort, or last-minute procedural reversal before the November 2026 resolution window, none of which have materialized in recent filings or court actions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
交易量
$23,520結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maxwell Frost faces no Republican opponent in Florida’s 10th congressional district after the June 2026 filing deadline passed with no qualifying challengers, leading Florida officials to cancel both the primary and general elections under state law. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and delivered Frost a 62-point margin in 2024, consistent with its urban Orlando core and long Democratic performance in presidential and House races. With only Frost on the ballot, traders assign the Democratic Party a 97.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat for the 120th Congress. A Republican victory would require an unforeseen disqualification, successful write-in effort, or last-minute procedural reversal before the November 2026 resolution window, none of which have materialized in recent filings or court actions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,520結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Maxwell Frost faces no Republican opponent in Florida’s 10th congressional district after the June 2026 filing deadline passed with no qualifying challengers, leading Florida officials to cancel both the primary and general elections under state law. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and delivered Frost a 62-point margin in 2024, consistent with its urban Orlando core and long Democratic performance in presidential and House races. With only Frost on the ballot, traders assign the Democratic Party a 97.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat for the 120th Congress. A Republican victory would require an unforeseen disqualification, successful write-in effort, or last-minute procedural reversal before the November 2026 resolution window, none of which have materialized in recent filings or court actions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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