Republican incumbent John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 60 percent of the vote, backed by an endorsement from President Trump, in Texas's 31st congressional district. The seat's partisan voting index favors Republicans by double digits, reflecting consistent strong performance in presidential and Senate contests within its mix of suburban Williamson County areas, rural counties, and military communities near Fort Hood. Democratic nominee Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker face structural headwinds typical of a solid Republican district, with limited polling or fundraising signals indicating a close contest. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 89.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical reelection rates for entrenched incumbents in similarly rated seats ahead of the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$38,846 交易量
$38,846 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
90%
民主黨
9%
$38,846 交易量
$38,846 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$19,350 交易量
90%
民主黨
$19,496 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 60 percent of the vote, backed by an endorsement from President Trump, in Texas's 31st congressional district. The seat's partisan voting index favors Republicans by double digits, reflecting consistent strong performance in presidential and Senate contests within its mix of suburban Williamson County areas, rural counties, and military communities near Fort Hood. Democratic nominee Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker face structural headwinds typical of a solid Republican district, with limited polling or fundraising signals indicating a close contest. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 89.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical reelection rates for entrenched incumbents in similarly rated seats ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$38,846結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 60 percent of the vote, backed by an endorsement from President Trump, in Texas's 31st congressional district. The seat's partisan voting index favors Republicans by double digits, reflecting consistent strong performance in presidential and Senate contests within its mix of suburban Williamson County areas, rural counties, and military communities near Fort Hood. Democratic nominee Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker face structural headwinds typical of a solid Republican district, with limited polling or fundraising signals indicating a close contest. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 89.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical reelection rates for entrenched incumbents in similarly rated seats ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$38,846結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent John Carter secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 60 percent of the vote, backed by an endorsement from President Trump, in Texas's 31st congressional district. The seat's partisan voting index favors Republicans by double digits, reflecting consistent strong performance in presidential and Senate contests within its mix of suburban Williamson County areas, rural counties, and military communities near Fort Hood. Democratic nominee Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker face structural headwinds typical of a solid Republican district, with limited polling or fundraising signals indicating a close contest. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 89.5 percent implied probability, consistent with historical reelection rates for entrenched incumbents in similarly rated seats ahead of the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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