Agbu Kefas, the incumbent who switched from PDP to APC in early 2026, leads trader consensus after securing the APC nomination through direct primaries in May and recent stakeholder endorsement as consensus candidate. This alignment with the federal ruling party and state resources underpins his position ahead of the February 2027 vote. Emmanuel Bwacha, the PDP nominee, trails after affirming his ticket and naming a running mate in recent weeks, while highlighting governance concerns and state debt. Minor-party candidates including Shiddi Usman Danjuma register minimal implied probabilities due to narrower organizational reach. Internal APC dissent and PDP factional dynamics, alongside voter turnout patterns in Taraba’s zones, remain key variables that could narrow or widen the gap before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於阿布·凱法斯 55.5%
伊曼紐爾·布瓦查 29%
Aboki Stephen Bayonga 6%
Shiddi Usman Danjuma 1.1%

阿布·凱法斯
55%

伊曼紐爾·布瓦查
29%

Aboki Stephen Bayonga
6%

Shiddi Usman Danjuma
1%
阿布·凱法斯 55.5%
伊曼紐爾·布瓦查 29%
Aboki Stephen Bayonga 6%
Shiddi Usman Danjuma 1.1%

阿布·凱法斯
55%

伊曼紐爾·布瓦查
29%

Aboki Stephen Bayonga
6%

Shiddi Usman Danjuma
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Agbu Kefas, the incumbent who switched from PDP to APC in early 2026, leads trader consensus after securing the APC nomination through direct primaries in May and recent stakeholder endorsement as consensus candidate. This alignment with the federal ruling party and state resources underpins his position ahead of the February 2027 vote. Emmanuel Bwacha, the PDP nominee, trails after affirming his ticket and naming a running mate in recent weeks, while highlighting governance concerns and state debt. Minor-party candidates including Shiddi Usman Danjuma register minimal implied probabilities due to narrower organizational reach. Internal APC dissent and PDP factional dynamics, alongside voter turnout patterns in Taraba’s zones, remain key variables that could narrow or widen the gap before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions