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美國 伊朗 預測與賠率

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Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

47%

June 30

$44M 交易量

$794K today

$348K Liq.

737

Ends 2 個月內

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

9%

December 31

$7M 交易量

$131K today

$119K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$603K 交易量

$30.8K Liq.

16

Ends 8 個月內

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

58%

Pakistan

$3M 交易量

$206K today

$344K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

<1%

$3M 交易量

$58.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 20 小時前

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

16%

$31.2K 交易量

$25.7K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 1 個月內

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

53%

$863K 交易量

$155K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

29%

$1M 交易量

$78.6K Liq.

Ends 2 個月內

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

18%

$47.4K 交易量

$64.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

1%

$434K 交易量

$14.9K Liq.

52

Ends 大約 20 小時前

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

42%

May 31

$11M 交易量

$568K today

$304K Liq.

266

Ends 大約 20 小時前

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

1%

April 22

$272M 交易量

$136M today

$1M Liq.

6,098

Ends 9 天前

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

33%

June 30

$71M 交易量

$3M today

$1M Liq.

1,455

Ends 大約 1 個月內

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

62%

June 30

$30M 交易量

$2M today

$259K Liq.

5

Ends 大約 20 小時前

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

85%

No Meeting before May 11

$1M 交易量

$167K today

$285K Liq.

23

Ends 9 天內

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

62%

Steve Witkoff

$1M 交易量

$113K Liq.

66

Ends 2 個月內

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing Ever Happens: May

50%

$0 交易量

$769 Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

1%

US Confirms Aliens Exist

$230K 交易量

$21.0K Liq.

3

Ends 6 個月內

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

11%

$559K 交易量

$33.9K Liq.

25

Ends 8 個月內

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

1%

Oil Sanction Relief

$4M 交易量

$143K today

$138K Liq.

143

Ends 大約 20 小時前

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 143 active markets for 美國 伊朗 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $451.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 1% chance to April 22. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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