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美國 伊朗 預測與賠率

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Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

9%

December 31

$7M 交易量

$48.3K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

7%

December 31, 2026

$618K 交易量

$37.2K Liq.

16

Ends 8 個月內

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

55%

Pakistan

$4M 交易量

$168K today

$339K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

15%

$176K 交易量

$46.7K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

25%

$2M 交易量

$77.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

50%

$953K 交易量

$115K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

7%

$203K 交易量

$97.8K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

51%

June 30

$12M 交易量

$371K today

$491K Liq.

303

Ends 大約 2 個月內

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

65%

December 31

$72M 交易量

$1M today

$2M Liq.

1,510

Ends 8 個月內

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

61%

June 30

$32M 交易量

$676K today

$597K Liq.

5

Ends 6 天前

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

94%

No Meeting before May 11

$2M 交易量

$174K Liq.

22

Ends 4 天內

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

56%

Steve Witkoff

$1M 交易量

$113K Liq.

69

Ends 大約 2 個月內

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

78%

Iran

$2.5K 交易量

$35.9K Liq.

3

Ends 9 天內

Nothing Ever Happens: May

Nothing Ever Happens: May

79%

Nothing

$33.9K 交易量

$18.3K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

1%

US Confirms Aliens Exist

$229K 交易量

$21.7K Liq.

3

Ends 6 個月內

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

10%

$559K 交易量

$38.7K Liq.

25

Ends 8 個月內

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

14%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

$109K 交易量

$114K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

13%

$75.7K 交易量

$12.1K Liq.

2

Ends 8 個月內

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by...?

39%

June 30

$31.4K 交易量

$63.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

Who will meet with Iran by May 31?

28%

Steve Witkoff

$36.1K 交易量

$94.3K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 131 active markets for 美國 伊朗 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $134.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 65% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 美國 伊朗 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.