Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges, centered on Strait of Hormuz access and Iranian nuclear capabilities, continue without a formal congressional declaration of war. Recent developments include US strikes following Iranian attacks on shipping in early July 2026, which collapsed a June memorandum of understanding, alongside direct talks mediated by regional actors. As of August 7, President Trump stated that the conflict is nearing an end through negotiations, with expectations for Hormuz reopening and reduced tensions. Key variables for any declaration include escalation thresholds in missile exchanges, Senate dynamics on authorization, and diplomatic breakthroughs on sanctions relief or nuclear inspections. Scheduled events such as further high-level talks or additional Strait incidents could shift trajectories before year-end resolution windows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$7,748,743 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
5%
$7,748,743 交易量
12月31日
$776,109 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges, centered on Strait of Hormuz access and Iranian nuclear capabilities, continue without a formal congressional declaration of war. Recent developments include US strikes following Iranian attacks on shipping in early July 2026, which collapsed a June memorandum of understanding, alongside direct talks mediated by regional actors. As of August 7, President Trump stated that the conflict is nearing an end through negotiations, with expectations for Hormuz reopening and reduced tensions. Key variables for any declaration include escalation thresholds in missile exchanges, Senate dynamics on authorization, and diplomatic breakthroughs on sanctions relief or nuclear inspections. Scheduled events such as further high-level talks or additional Strait incidents could shift trajectories before year-end resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
交易量
$7,748,743結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges, centered on Strait of Hormuz access and Iranian nuclear capabilities, continue without a formal congressional declaration of war. Recent developments include US strikes following Iranian attacks on shipping in early July 2026, which collapsed a June memorandum of understanding, alongside direct talks mediated by regional actors. As of August 7, President Trump stated that the conflict is nearing an end through negotiations, with expectations for Hormuz reopening and reduced tensions. Key variables for any declaration include escalation thresholds in missile exchanges, Senate dynamics on authorization, and diplomatic breakthroughs on sanctions relief or nuclear inspections. Scheduled events such as further high-level talks or additional Strait incidents could shift trajectories before year-end resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$7,748,743結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges, centered on Strait of Hormuz access and Iranian nuclear capabilities, continue without a formal congressional declaration of war. Recent developments include US strikes following Iranian attacks on shipping in early July 2026, which collapsed a June memorandum of understanding, alongside direct talks mediated by regional actors. As of August 7, President Trump stated that the conflict is nearing an end through negotiations, with expectations for Hormuz reopening and reduced tensions. Key variables for any declaration include escalation thresholds in missile exchanges, Senate dynamics on authorization, and diplomatic breakthroughs on sanctions relief or nuclear inspections. Scheduled events such as further high-level talks or additional Strait incidents could shift trajectories before year-end resolution windows.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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