President Donald Trump stated on September 17 that the United States is “hopefully toward the end” of its conflict with Iran and claimed direct contacts with Tehran officials, though Iranian authorities immediately conditioned any resumption of talks on prior U.S. compliance with the June memorandum of understanding. That interim accord, signed after months of strikes and aimed at halting operations including in Lebanon and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, has faced repeated strains from subsequent exchanges of fire, sanctions disputes, and nuclear inspection disagreements. Congressional action remains central: the House has passed multiple war-powers resolutions seeking to curtail executive military authority, while costs exceed $33 billion and munitions shortfalls mount. Upcoming diplomatic mediation involving Pakistan and Qatar, alongside scheduled congressional votes, continue to shape assessments of whether formal congressional declaration of war becomes necessary or likely before any resolution deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$7,824,575 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
3%
$7,824,575 交易量
12月31日
$851,941 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump stated on September 17 that the United States is “hopefully toward the end” of its conflict with Iran and claimed direct contacts with Tehran officials, though Iranian authorities immediately conditioned any resumption of talks on prior U.S. compliance with the June memorandum of understanding. That interim accord, signed after months of strikes and aimed at halting operations including in Lebanon and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, has faced repeated strains from subsequent exchanges of fire, sanctions disputes, and nuclear inspection disagreements. Congressional action remains central: the House has passed multiple war-powers resolutions seeking to curtail executive military authority, while costs exceed $33 billion and munitions shortfalls mount. Upcoming diplomatic mediation involving Pakistan and Qatar, alongside scheduled congressional votes, continue to shape assessments of whether formal congressional declaration of war becomes necessary or likely before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
交易量
$7,824,575結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump stated on September 17 that the United States is “hopefully toward the end” of its conflict with Iran and claimed direct contacts with Tehran officials, though Iranian authorities immediately conditioned any resumption of talks on prior U.S. compliance with the June memorandum of understanding. That interim accord, signed after months of strikes and aimed at halting operations including in Lebanon and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, has faced repeated strains from subsequent exchanges of fire, sanctions disputes, and nuclear inspection disagreements. Congressional action remains central: the House has passed multiple war-powers resolutions seeking to curtail executive military authority, while costs exceed $33 billion and munitions shortfalls mount. Upcoming diplomatic mediation involving Pakistan and Qatar, alongside scheduled congressional votes, continue to shape assessments of whether formal congressional declaration of war becomes necessary or likely before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$7,824,575結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETPresident Donald Trump stated on September 17 that the United States is “hopefully toward the end” of its conflict with Iran and claimed direct contacts with Tehran officials, though Iranian authorities immediately conditioned any resumption of talks on prior U.S. compliance with the June memorandum of understanding. That interim accord, signed after months of strikes and aimed at halting operations including in Lebanon and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, has faced repeated strains from subsequent exchanges of fire, sanctions disputes, and nuclear inspection disagreements. Congressional action remains central: the House has passed multiple war-powers resolutions seeking to curtail executive military authority, while costs exceed $33 billion and munitions shortfalls mount. Upcoming diplomatic mediation involving Pakistan and Qatar, alongside scheduled congressional votes, continue to shape assessments of whether formal congressional declaration of war becomes necessary or likely before any resolution deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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