Ongoing military operations between the US, Israel, and Iran since February 2026, including joint airstrikes and Iranian retaliatory missile and drone attacks targeting US forces, bases, and shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, have shaped trader views on prospects for a formal Congressional declaration of war. Recent developments include renewed US strikes in late July following Iranian attacks on vessels, followed by President Trump's August 1 announcement canceling planned further strikes amid progress in negotiations over the strait and potential denuclearization steps. Diplomatic channels, including talks with regional actors, remain active alongside constitutional requirements for any official declaration, which has not occurred despite five months of hostilities. Upcoming developments in negotiations could influence whether the conflict escalates to formal status or de-escalates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$7,743,204 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
5%
$7,743,204 交易量
12月31日
$770,570 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing military operations between the US, Israel, and Iran since February 2026, including joint airstrikes and Iranian retaliatory missile and drone attacks targeting US forces, bases, and shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, have shaped trader views on prospects for a formal Congressional declaration of war. Recent developments include renewed US strikes in late July following Iranian attacks on vessels, followed by President Trump's August 1 announcement canceling planned further strikes amid progress in negotiations over the strait and potential denuclearization steps. Diplomatic channels, including talks with regional actors, remain active alongside constitutional requirements for any official declaration, which has not occurred despite five months of hostilities. Upcoming developments in negotiations could influence whether the conflict escalates to formal status or de-escalates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
交易量
$7,743,204結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing military operations between the US, Israel, and Iran since February 2026, including joint airstrikes and Iranian retaliatory missile and drone attacks targeting US forces, bases, and shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, have shaped trader views on prospects for a formal Congressional declaration of war. Recent developments include renewed US strikes in late July following Iranian attacks on vessels, followed by President Trump's August 1 announcement canceling planned further strikes amid progress in negotiations over the strait and potential denuclearization steps. Diplomatic channels, including talks with regional actors, remain active alongside constitutional requirements for any official declaration, which has not occurred despite five months of hostilities. Upcoming developments in negotiations could influence whether the conflict escalates to formal status or de-escalates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$7,743,204結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military operations between the US, Israel, and Iran since February 2026, including joint airstrikes and Iranian retaliatory missile and drone attacks targeting US forces, bases, and shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, have shaped trader views on prospects for a formal Congressional declaration of war. Recent developments include renewed US strikes in late July following Iranian attacks on vessels, followed by President Trump's August 1 announcement canceling planned further strikes amid progress in negotiations over the strait and potential denuclearization steps. Diplomatic channels, including talks with regional actors, remain active alongside constitutional requirements for any official declaration, which has not occurred despite five months of hostilities. Upcoming developments in negotiations could influence whether the conflict escalates to formal status or de-escalates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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