Recent U.S. and Israeli airstrikes in June 2025 and February-March 2026 heavily damaged Iran's key enrichment sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, along with weaponization-related facilities, according to satellite assessments and intelligence reports. These operations halted or severely impaired uranium enrichment, with IAEA inspectors withdrawn since mid-2025 and unable to verify the status of roughly 440 kg of 60 percent enriched uranium, much of it reportedly buried under rubble. The June 2026 IAEA report noted little change and persistent verification gaps, while no confirmed evidence has emerged of resumed high-level enrichment, a structured weapons program, or test preparations. Diplomatic talks continue amid demands for dismantlement, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 93 percent probability for no nuclear acquisition or test before 2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$936,703 交易量
$936,703 交易量
是
$936,703 交易量
$936,703 交易量
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
市場開放時間: Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. and Israeli airstrikes in June 2025 and February-March 2026 heavily damaged Iran's key enrichment sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan, along with weaponization-related facilities, according to satellite assessments and intelligence reports. These operations halted or severely impaired uranium enrichment, with IAEA inspectors withdrawn since mid-2025 and unable to verify the status of roughly 440 kg of 60 percent enriched uranium, much of it reportedly buried under rubble. The June 2026 IAEA report noted little change and persistent verification gaps, while no confirmed evidence has emerged of resumed high-level enrichment, a structured weapons program, or test preparations. Diplomatic talks continue amid demands for dismantlement, supporting trader consensus reflected in the 93 percent probability for no nuclear acquisition or test before 2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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