Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured renomination in the August 4 primary with 74 percent of the vote in Michigan’s 1st Congressional District, which encompasses the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+11 partisan lean and Bergman’s consistent double-digit general-election margins in prior cycles. The Democratic nominee, Callie Barr, advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a rural, older, and predominantly White district that has favored Republicans in recent federal contests. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Republican reflects these fundamentals, while a Democratic victory would require an unusually large national wave, a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, or turnout shifts well beyond historical patterns in the district.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$21,551 交易量
$21,551 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
92%
民主黨
8%
$21,551 交易量
$21,551 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$11,419 交易量
92%
民主黨
$10,132 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured renomination in the August 4 primary with 74 percent of the vote in Michigan’s 1st Congressional District, which encompasses the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+11 partisan lean and Bergman’s consistent double-digit general-election margins in prior cycles. The Democratic nominee, Callie Barr, advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a rural, older, and predominantly White district that has favored Republicans in recent federal contests. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Republican reflects these fundamentals, while a Democratic victory would require an unusually large national wave, a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, or turnout shifts well beyond historical patterns in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$21,551結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured renomination in the August 4 primary with 74 percent of the vote in Michigan’s 1st Congressional District, which encompasses the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+11 partisan lean and Bergman’s consistent double-digit general-election margins in prior cycles. The Democratic nominee, Callie Barr, advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a rural, older, and predominantly White district that has favored Republicans in recent federal contests. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Republican reflects these fundamentals, while a Democratic victory would require an unusually large national wave, a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, or turnout shifts well beyond historical patterns in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,551結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured renomination in the August 4 primary with 74 percent of the vote in Michigan’s 1st Congressional District, which encompasses the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+11 partisan lean and Bergman’s consistent double-digit general-election margins in prior cycles. The Democratic nominee, Callie Barr, advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a rural, older, and predominantly White district that has favored Republicans in recent federal contests. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Republican reflects these fundamentals, while a Democratic victory would require an unusually large national wave, a major unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, or turnout shifts well beyond historical patterns in the district.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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