Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean. The district, which spans much of western and northern Michigan, carries a strong partisan advantage that has produced double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Moolenaar’s 2024 victory. He advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose emerged from a competitive primary to face him. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Republican, underscoring limited path-to-victory factors for the challenger. A national political wave of unusual scale, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$53,874 交易量
$53,874 交易量
2026-11-02
約翰·穆勒納爾（共和黨）
98%
本·安布羅斯（民主黨）
1%
$53,874 交易量
$53,874 交易量
2026-11-02
約翰·穆勒納爾（共和黨）
$22,752 交易量
98%
本·安布羅斯（民主黨）
$31,122 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean. The district, which spans much of western and northern Michigan, carries a strong partisan advantage that has produced double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Moolenaar’s 2024 victory. He advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose emerged from a competitive primary to face him. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Republican, underscoring limited path-to-victory factors for the challenger. A national political wave of unusual scale, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$53,874結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean. The district, which spans much of western and northern Michigan, carries a strong partisan advantage that has produced double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Moolenaar’s 2024 victory. He advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose emerged from a competitive primary to face him. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Republican, underscoring limited path-to-victory factors for the challenger. A national political wave of unusual scale, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$53,874結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean. The district, which spans much of western and northern Michigan, carries a strong partisan advantage that has produced double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Moolenaar’s 2024 victory. He advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose emerged from a competitive primary to face him. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Republican, underscoring limited path-to-victory factors for the challenger. A national political wave of unusual scale, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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