Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination for New York’s 21st Congressional District in a June 2026 primary with strong backing from President Trump and substantial self-funding, defeating the state party’s preferred candidate. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Elise Stefanik, sits in a district Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, won his party’s primary but faces structural headwinds in the solidly Republican-leaning North Country area. Available polling since the primaries has shown Constantino ahead in most surveys, with the market reflecting trader assessment of the district’s partisan composition, Republican primary consolidation, and Constantino’s resource edge ahead of the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$65,582 交易量
$65,582 交易量
2026-11-02
安東尼·康斯坦蒂諾（共和黨）
75%
布萊克·根戴比恩（民主黨）
25%
$65,582 交易量
$65,582 交易量
2026-11-02
安東尼·康斯坦蒂諾（共和黨）
$34,333 交易量
75%
布萊克·根戴比恩（民主黨）
$31,250 交易量
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination for New York’s 21st Congressional District in a June 2026 primary with strong backing from President Trump and substantial self-funding, defeating the state party’s preferred candidate. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Elise Stefanik, sits in a district Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, won his party’s primary but faces structural headwinds in the solidly Republican-leaning North Country area. Available polling since the primaries has shown Constantino ahead in most surveys, with the market reflecting trader assessment of the district’s partisan composition, Republican primary consolidation, and Constantino’s resource edge ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$65,582結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination for New York’s 21st Congressional District in a June 2026 primary with strong backing from President Trump and substantial self-funding, defeating the state party’s preferred candidate. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Elise Stefanik, sits in a district Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, won his party’s primary but faces structural headwinds in the solidly Republican-leaning North Country area. Available polling since the primaries has shown Constantino ahead in most surveys, with the market reflecting trader assessment of the district’s partisan composition, Republican primary consolidation, and Constantino’s resource edge ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$65,582結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETAnthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination for New York’s 21st Congressional District in a June 2026 primary with strong backing from President Trump and substantial self-funding, defeating the state party’s preferred candidate. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Elise Stefanik, sits in a district Trump carried by roughly 20 points in 2024. Democrat Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer, won his party’s primary but faces structural headwinds in the solidly Republican-leaning North Country area. Available polling since the primaries has shown Constantino ahead in most surveys, with the market reflecting trader assessment of the district’s partisan composition, Republican primary consolidation, and Constantino’s resource edge ahead of the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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