Utah's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+21 and delivered strong Republican margins in the 2024 presidential results under the current map. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with 68 percent of the vote, consolidating party support ahead of the general election. The Democratic nominee faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have consistently exceeded 65 percent in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these baseline partisan fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that would indicate a viable path for the challenger. Late developments such as a national midterm swing, candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal remain the primary variables that could compress the margin before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$12,418 交易量
$12,418 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
95%
民主黨
6%
$12,418 交易量
$12,418 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$9,987 交易量
95%
民主黨
$2,432 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+21 and delivered strong Republican margins in the 2024 presidential results under the current map. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with 68 percent of the vote, consolidating party support ahead of the general election. The Democratic nominee faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have consistently exceeded 65 percent in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these baseline partisan fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that would indicate a viable path for the challenger. Late developments such as a national midterm swing, candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal remain the primary variables that could compress the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$12,418結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+21 and delivered strong Republican margins in the 2024 presidential results under the current map. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with 68 percent of the vote, consolidating party support ahead of the general election. The Democratic nominee faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have consistently exceeded 65 percent in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these baseline partisan fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that would indicate a viable path for the challenger. Late developments such as a national midterm swing, candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal remain the primary variables that could compress the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,418結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETUtah's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+21 and delivered strong Republican margins in the 2024 presidential results under the current map. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with 68 percent of the vote, consolidating party support ahead of the general election. The Democratic nominee faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have consistently exceeded 65 percent in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects these baseline partisan fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that would indicate a viable path for the challenger. Late developments such as a national midterm swing, candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal remain the primary variables that could compress the margin before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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