Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 election in New York’s 3rd congressional district due to his decisive 2024 victory over the same Republican opponent, Mike LiPetri, and his strong primary performance this cycle. The suburban swing district, which Donald Trump carried narrowly in 2024, has shown consistent support for Suozzi’s moderate record on issues such as immigration and public safety. Forecasters rate the seat as lean or likely Democratic, reflecting Suozzi’s fundraising edge and name recognition against a challenger who has lost multiple prior bids. While national Republican targeting and union endorsements for LiPetri could narrow margins, late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected scandals would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$26,472 交易量
$26,472 交易量
2026-11-03
湯姆·蘇奧齊（民主黨）
92%
麥克·李佩特里（共和黨）
8%
$26,472 交易量
$26,472 交易量
2026-11-03
湯姆·蘇奧齊（民主黨）
$12,616 交易量
92%
麥克·李佩特里（共和黨）
$13,855 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 election in New York’s 3rd congressional district due to his decisive 2024 victory over the same Republican opponent, Mike LiPetri, and his strong primary performance this cycle. The suburban swing district, which Donald Trump carried narrowly in 2024, has shown consistent support for Suozzi’s moderate record on issues such as immigration and public safety. Forecasters rate the seat as lean or likely Democratic, reflecting Suozzi’s fundraising edge and name recognition against a challenger who has lost multiple prior bids. While national Republican targeting and union endorsements for LiPetri could narrow margins, late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected scandals would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
交易量
$26,472結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 election in New York’s 3rd congressional district due to his decisive 2024 victory over the same Republican opponent, Mike LiPetri, and his strong primary performance this cycle. The suburban swing district, which Donald Trump carried narrowly in 2024, has shown consistent support for Suozzi’s moderate record on issues such as immigration and public safety. Forecasters rate the seat as lean or likely Democratic, reflecting Suozzi’s fundraising edge and name recognition against a challenger who has lost multiple prior bids. While national Republican targeting and union endorsements for LiPetri could narrow margins, late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected scandals would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,472結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETIncumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the November 2026 election in New York’s 3rd congressional district due to his decisive 2024 victory over the same Republican opponent, Mike LiPetri, and his strong primary performance this cycle. The suburban swing district, which Donald Trump carried narrowly in 2024, has shown consistent support for Suozzi’s moderate record on issues such as immigration and public safety. Forecasters rate the seat as lean or likely Democratic, reflecting Suozzi’s fundraising edge and name recognition against a challenger who has lost multiple prior bids. While national Republican targeting and union endorsements for LiPetri could narrow margins, late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected scandals would be required to meaningfully alter the current implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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