Republican incumbent Keith Self holds a commanding position in Texas’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 3 general election. The Collin County–based seat carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index near R+11, delivered comfortable margins to Donald Trump and Ted Cruz in 2024, and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by every major forecaster. Self secured renomination with more than 80 percent in the March primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed. The district’s suburban and exurban composition, combined with consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, has produced the wide trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A national Democratic surge or late-breaking local development could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages make such an outcome improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$32,322 交易量
$32,322 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
93%
民主黨
9%
$32,322 交易量
$32,322 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$22,725 交易量
93%
民主黨
$9,597 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Keith Self holds a commanding position in Texas’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 3 general election. The Collin County–based seat carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index near R+11, delivered comfortable margins to Donald Trump and Ted Cruz in 2024, and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by every major forecaster. Self secured renomination with more than 80 percent in the March primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed. The district’s suburban and exurban composition, combined with consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, has produced the wide trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A national Democratic surge or late-breaking local development could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages make such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$32,322結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Keith Self holds a commanding position in Texas’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 3 general election. The Collin County–based seat carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index near R+11, delivered comfortable margins to Donald Trump and Ted Cruz in 2024, and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by every major forecaster. Self secured renomination with more than 80 percent in the March primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed. The district’s suburban and exurban composition, combined with consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, has produced the wide trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A national Democratic surge or late-breaking local development could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages make such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,322結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Keith Self holds a commanding position in Texas’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 3 general election. The Collin County–based seat carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index near R+11, delivered comfortable margins to Donald Trump and Ted Cruz in 2024, and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by every major forecaster. Self secured renomination with more than 80 percent in the March primary against limited opposition, while Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed. The district’s suburban and exurban composition, combined with consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, has produced the wide trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A national Democratic surge or late-breaking local development could narrow the gap, though the structural advantages make such an outcome improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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