Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro's commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race stems primarily from his unopposed primary victory in May, substantial fundraising edge, and established record of executive actions since taking office in 2023. Republican nominee Stacy Garrity, the state treasurer who also advanced without primary opposition, faces structural headwinds in a state where incumbents historically secure reelection at high rates when unencumbered by major controversies. Trader consensus around 94 percent for the Democrat reflects these fundamentals, including Shapiro's emphasis on state-level policy delivery over national divides. Late developments such as significant shifts in turnout patterns, unexpected economic pressures, or high-profile campaign events within the final months could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$19,584 交易量
$19,584 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
6%
$19,584 交易量
$19,584 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$7,228 交易量
94%
共和黨
$12,356 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro's commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race stems primarily from his unopposed primary victory in May, substantial fundraising edge, and established record of executive actions since taking office in 2023. Republican nominee Stacy Garrity, the state treasurer who also advanced without primary opposition, faces structural headwinds in a state where incumbents historically secure reelection at high rates when unencumbered by major controversies. Trader consensus around 94 percent for the Democrat reflects these fundamentals, including Shapiro's emphasis on state-level policy delivery over national divides. Late developments such as significant shifts in turnout patterns, unexpected economic pressures, or high-profile campaign events within the final months could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$19,584結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro's commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race stems primarily from his unopposed primary victory in May, substantial fundraising edge, and established record of executive actions since taking office in 2023. Republican nominee Stacy Garrity, the state treasurer who also advanced without primary opposition, faces structural headwinds in a state where incumbents historically secure reelection at high rates when unencumbered by major controversies. Trader consensus around 94 percent for the Democrat reflects these fundamentals, including Shapiro's emphasis on state-level policy delivery over national divides. Late developments such as significant shifts in turnout patterns, unexpected economic pressures, or high-profile campaign events within the final months could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$19,584結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro's commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race stems primarily from his unopposed primary victory in May, substantial fundraising edge, and established record of executive actions since taking office in 2023. Republican nominee Stacy Garrity, the state treasurer who also advanced without primary opposition, faces structural headwinds in a state where incumbents historically secure reelection at high rates when unencumbered by major controversies. Trader consensus around 94 percent for the Democrat reflects these fundamentals, including Shapiro's emphasis on state-level policy delivery over national divides. Late developments such as significant shifts in turnout patterns, unexpected economic pressures, or high-profile campaign events within the final months could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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