Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania race against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, with prediction market consensus reflecting sustained double-digit polling leads of 17–20 points from recent surveys. Shapiro’s strong approval ratings, incumbency advantages, and consistent performance across battleground voter groups have anchored trader sentiment since primary nominations in May. Garrity’s campaign has struggled to close the gap amid broader Democratic advantages in statewide fundraising and organization. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late-cycle economic shifts, turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters, or unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals that alter voter assessments before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$19,574 交易量
$19,574 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
95%
共和黨
6%
$19,574 交易量
$19,574 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$7,218 交易量
95%
共和黨
$12,356 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania race against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, with prediction market consensus reflecting sustained double-digit polling leads of 17–20 points from recent surveys. Shapiro’s strong approval ratings, incumbency advantages, and consistent performance across battleground voter groups have anchored trader sentiment since primary nominations in May. Garrity’s campaign has struggled to close the gap amid broader Democratic advantages in statewide fundraising and organization. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late-cycle economic shifts, turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters, or unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals that alter voter assessments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$19,574結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania race against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, with prediction market consensus reflecting sustained double-digit polling leads of 17–20 points from recent surveys. Shapiro’s strong approval ratings, incumbency advantages, and consistent performance across battleground voter groups have anchored trader sentiment since primary nominations in May. Garrity’s campaign has struggled to close the gap amid broader Democratic advantages in statewide fundraising and organization. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late-cycle economic shifts, turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters, or unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals that alter voter assessments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$19,574結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania race against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity, with prediction market consensus reflecting sustained double-digit polling leads of 17–20 points from recent surveys. Shapiro’s strong approval ratings, incumbency advantages, and consistent performance across battleground voter groups have anchored trader sentiment since primary nominations in May. Garrity’s campaign has struggled to close the gap amid broader Democratic advantages in statewide fundraising and organization. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include late-cycle economic shifts, turnout surges among Republican-leaning voters, or unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues or major scandals that alter voter assessments before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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