Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro's consistent double-digit leads in recent polls, combined with strong job approval ratings near 60 percent and an uncontested primary, have anchored trader expectations for a Democratic win in the November 3, 2026, Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. Republican nominee Stacy Garrity, the state treasurer who also faced no primary opposition, trails substantially in head-to-head surveys and fundraising. These dynamics reflect the typical advantages of incumbency in a swing state with established voter coalitions. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or sharp national economic reversal could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$20,122 交易量
$20,122 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
96%
共和黨
6%
$20,122 交易量
$20,122 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$7,266 交易量
96%
共和黨
$12,856 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro's consistent double-digit leads in recent polls, combined with strong job approval ratings near 60 percent and an uncontested primary, have anchored trader expectations for a Democratic win in the November 3, 2026, Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. Republican nominee Stacy Garrity, the state treasurer who also faced no primary opposition, trails substantially in head-to-head surveys and fundraising. These dynamics reflect the typical advantages of incumbency in a swing state with established voter coalitions. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or sharp national economic reversal could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$20,122結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro's consistent double-digit leads in recent polls, combined with strong job approval ratings near 60 percent and an uncontested primary, have anchored trader expectations for a Democratic win in the November 3, 2026, Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. Republican nominee Stacy Garrity, the state treasurer who also faced no primary opposition, trails substantially in head-to-head surveys and fundraising. These dynamics reflect the typical advantages of incumbency in a swing state with established voter coalitions. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or sharp national economic reversal could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$20,122結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro's consistent double-digit leads in recent polls, combined with strong job approval ratings near 60 percent and an uncontested primary, have anchored trader expectations for a Democratic win in the November 3, 2026, Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. Republican nominee Stacy Garrity, the state treasurer who also faced no primary opposition, trails substantially in head-to-head surveys and fundraising. These dynamics reflect the typical advantages of incumbency in a swing state with established voter coalitions. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or sharp national economic reversal could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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