Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 88 percent of the vote, positioning him strongly against Republican nominee Dan Cox for the November 3 general election. Maryland's consistent Democratic voting patterns in statewide contests, combined with Moore's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 93.6 percent implied probability for a Democratic win. Cox's prior statewide loss in 2022 further limits Republican competitiveness in this blue-leaning state. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp economic downturn, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical base rates for incumbent re-election in similar states suggest limited realistic paths to an upset before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$16,358 交易量
$16,358 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
5%
$16,358 交易量
$16,358 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$7,406 交易量
94%
共和黨
$8,953 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 88 percent of the vote, positioning him strongly against Republican nominee Dan Cox for the November 3 general election. Maryland's consistent Democratic voting patterns in statewide contests, combined with Moore's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 93.6 percent implied probability for a Democratic win. Cox's prior statewide loss in 2022 further limits Republican competitiveness in this blue-leaning state. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp economic downturn, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical base rates for incumbent re-election in similar states suggest limited realistic paths to an upset before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$16,358結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 88 percent of the vote, positioning him strongly against Republican nominee Dan Cox for the November 3 general election. Maryland's consistent Democratic voting patterns in statewide contests, combined with Moore's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 93.6 percent implied probability for a Democratic win. Cox's prior statewide loss in 2022 further limits Republican competitiveness in this blue-leaning state. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp economic downturn, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical base rates for incumbent re-election in similar states suggest limited realistic paths to an upset before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$16,358結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 88 percent of the vote, positioning him strongly against Republican nominee Dan Cox for the November 3 general election. Maryland's consistent Democratic voting patterns in statewide contests, combined with Moore's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 93.6 percent implied probability for a Democratic win. Cox's prior statewide loss in 2022 further limits Republican competitiveness in this blue-leaning state. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp economic downturn, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical base rates for incumbent re-election in similar states suggest limited realistic paths to an upset before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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