Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th Congressional District after winning the May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote following the death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The district, covering suburban Atlanta counties including Clayton, DeKalb, and Gwinnett, has consistently favored Democrats by margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, leading forecasters to rate the seat Solid Democratic. Clark’s campaign has raised over $1 million, far outpacing Republican nominee Jonathan Chavez, an Air Force veteran who ran unopposed in his primary. Traders assign Clark a 97 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and her primary performance. A late scandal, health event, or turnout anomaly could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in races with this structural advantage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$39,455 交易量
$39,455 交易量
2026-11-02
賈思敏·克拉克（民主黨）
97%
Jonathan Chavez（共和黨）
3%
$39,455 交易量
$39,455 交易量
2026-11-02
賈思敏·克拉克（民主黨）
$19,979 交易量
97%
Jonathan Chavez（共和黨）
$19,477 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th Congressional District after winning the May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote following the death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The district, covering suburban Atlanta counties including Clayton, DeKalb, and Gwinnett, has consistently favored Democrats by margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, leading forecasters to rate the seat Solid Democratic. Clark’s campaign has raised over $1 million, far outpacing Republican nominee Jonathan Chavez, an Air Force veteran who ran unopposed in his primary. Traders assign Clark a 97 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and her primary performance. A late scandal, health event, or turnout anomaly could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in races with this structural advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$39,455結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th Congressional District after winning the May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote following the death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The district, covering suburban Atlanta counties including Clayton, DeKalb, and Gwinnett, has consistently favored Democrats by margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, leading forecasters to rate the seat Solid Democratic. Clark’s campaign has raised over $1 million, far outpacing Republican nominee Jonathan Chavez, an Air Force veteran who ran unopposed in his primary. Traders assign Clark a 97 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and her primary performance. A late scandal, health event, or turnout anomaly could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in races with this structural advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$39,455結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETJasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination for Georgia’s 13th Congressional District after winning the May 2026 primary with 56 percent of the vote following the death of longtime incumbent David Scott. The district, covering suburban Atlanta counties including Clayton, DeKalb, and Gwinnett, has consistently favored Democrats by margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, leading forecasters to rate the seat Solid Democratic. Clark’s campaign has raised over $1 million, far outpacing Republican nominee Jonathan Chavez, an Air Force veteran who ran unopposed in his primary. Traders assign Clark a 97 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and her primary performance. A late scandal, health event, or turnout anomaly could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain uncommon in races with this structural advantage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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