Incumbent Republican Brad Knott holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 13th congressional district, where mid-decade redistricting and a Cook PVI of R+8 have produced a solidly Republican environment, as reflected in the 83.5% trader consensus for his victory. Knott secured his party's nomination with nearly 90% in the March 2026 primary and benefits from incumbency advantages, including committee roles on Judiciary, Transportation and Infrastructure, and Homeland Security, plus business endorsements such as the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. Democrat Paul Barringer, who won his March primary with 59%, faces structural headwinds in a district where Trump carried the vote by 7.5 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican with no recent polling shifts or major campaign events altering the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-02
布拉德·諾特（共和黨）
84%
保羅·巴林傑（民主黨）
16%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
布拉德·諾特（共和黨）
$4,317 交易量
84%
保羅·巴林傑（民主黨）
$5,314 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Knott holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 13th congressional district, where mid-decade redistricting and a Cook PVI of R+8 have produced a solidly Republican environment, as reflected in the 83.5% trader consensus for his victory. Knott secured his party's nomination with nearly 90% in the March 2026 primary and benefits from incumbency advantages, including committee roles on Judiciary, Transportation and Infrastructure, and Homeland Security, plus business endorsements such as the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. Democrat Paul Barringer, who won his March primary with 59%, faces structural headwinds in a district where Trump carried the vote by 7.5 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican with no recent polling shifts or major campaign events altering the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$9,631結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Knott holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 13th congressional district, where mid-decade redistricting and a Cook PVI of R+8 have produced a solidly Republican environment, as reflected in the 83.5% trader consensus for his victory. Knott secured his party's nomination with nearly 90% in the March 2026 primary and benefits from incumbency advantages, including committee roles on Judiciary, Transportation and Infrastructure, and Homeland Security, plus business endorsements such as the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. Democrat Paul Barringer, who won his March primary with 59%, faces structural headwinds in a district where Trump carried the vote by 7.5 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican with no recent polling shifts or major campaign events altering the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,631結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Republican Brad Knott holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 13th congressional district, where mid-decade redistricting and a Cook PVI of R+8 have produced a solidly Republican environment, as reflected in the 83.5% trader consensus for his victory. Knott secured his party's nomination with nearly 90% in the March 2026 primary and benefits from incumbency advantages, including committee roles on Judiciary, Transportation and Infrastructure, and Homeland Security, plus business endorsements such as the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. Democrat Paul Barringer, who won his March primary with 59%, faces structural headwinds in a district where Trump carried the vote by 7.5 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican with no recent polling shifts or major campaign events altering the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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