The Texas 13th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+24, underpins the 94.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the nomination with 89.5% in the March 2026 primary against a limited challenger, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced as the general election opponent with minimal reported fundraising. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 contest. A late scandal, significant health event, or unexpectedly large Democratic national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical results and current dynamics suggest such shifts remain improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$18,978 交易量
$18,978 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
95%
民主黨
5%
$18,978 交易量
$18,978 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$3,466 交易量
95%
民主黨
$15,513 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 13th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+24, underpins the 94.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the nomination with 89.5% in the March 2026 primary against a limited challenger, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced as the general election opponent with minimal reported fundraising. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 contest. A late scandal, significant health event, or unexpectedly large Democratic national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical results and current dynamics suggest such shifts remain improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$18,978結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 13th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+24, underpins the 94.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the nomination with 89.5% in the March 2026 primary against a limited challenger, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced as the general election opponent with minimal reported fundraising. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 contest. A late scandal, significant health event, or unexpectedly large Democratic national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical results and current dynamics suggest such shifts remain improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,978結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThe Texas 13th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+24, underpins the 94.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Ronny Jackson secured the nomination with 89.5% in the March 2026 primary against a limited challenger, while Democrat Mark Nair advanced as the general election opponent with minimal reported fundraising. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 contest. A late scandal, significant health event, or unexpectedly large Democratic national wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical results and current dynamics suggest such shifts remain improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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