Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary by defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat, backed by Mayor Zohran Mamdani and aligned progressive groups. The district, encompassing parts of upper Manhattan and the Bronx, maintains a strong Democratic partisan advantage, with the seat rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters ahead of the November general election. Jomo Williams, the Republican nominee, faces structural barriers in a constituency where Democratic candidates have historically exceeded 80 percent of the vote. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift with unusually low turnout, late developments affecting candidate viability, or broader national political realignments before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$39,925 交易量
$39,925 交易量
Darializa Avila Chevalier(民主黨)
97%
喬莫·威廉斯(共和黨)
2%
$39,925 交易量
$39,925 交易量
Darializa Avila Chevalier(民主黨)
97%
喬莫·威廉斯(共和黨)
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 13th Congressional District in the June 2026 primary by defeating five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat, backed by Mayor Zohran Mamdani and aligned progressive groups. The district, encompassing parts of upper Manhattan and the Bronx, maintains a strong Democratic partisan advantage, with the seat rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters ahead of the November general election. Jomo Williams, the Republican nominee, faces structural barriers in a constituency where Democratic candidates have historically exceeded 80 percent of the vote. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift with unusually low turnout, late developments affecting candidate viability, or broader national political realignments before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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