Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna holds a clear edge in Florida’s 13th Congressional District, a Pinellas County seat rated Likely Republican by Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections with an R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Post-redistricting maps strengthened the GOP lean, and Luna’s 2024 reelection margin plus fundraising advantage have anchored trader pricing near 72.5% for Republicans. The Democratic nominee, Leela Gray, consolidated her party’s primary in August 2026, yet most polling averages still show Luna ahead by roughly six points. A late August House Majority PAC survey giving Gray a narrow lead introduced some uncertainty, keeping Democratic odds around 28%, but forecasters continue to view the race as structurally favorable to the incumbent heading into November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
73%
Democratic Party
28%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$3,240 交易量
73%
Democratic Party
$4,508 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna holds a clear edge in Florida’s 13th Congressional District, a Pinellas County seat rated Likely Republican by Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections with an R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Post-redistricting maps strengthened the GOP lean, and Luna’s 2024 reelection margin plus fundraising advantage have anchored trader pricing near 72.5% for Republicans. The Democratic nominee, Leela Gray, consolidated her party’s primary in August 2026, yet most polling averages still show Luna ahead by roughly six points. A late August House Majority PAC survey giving Gray a narrow lead introduced some uncertainty, keeping Democratic odds around 28%, but forecasters continue to view the race as structurally favorable to the incumbent heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
交易量
$7,749結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna holds a clear edge in Florida’s 13th Congressional District, a Pinellas County seat rated Likely Republican by Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections with an R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Post-redistricting maps strengthened the GOP lean, and Luna’s 2024 reelection margin plus fundraising advantage have anchored trader pricing near 72.5% for Republicans. The Democratic nominee, Leela Gray, consolidated her party’s primary in August 2026, yet most polling averages still show Luna ahead by roughly six points. A late August House Majority PAC survey giving Gray a narrow lead introduced some uncertainty, keeping Democratic odds around 28%, but forecasters continue to view the race as structurally favorable to the incumbent heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,749結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETRepublican incumbent Anna Paulina Luna holds a clear edge in Florida’s 13th Congressional District, a Pinellas County seat rated Likely Republican by Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections with an R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Post-redistricting maps strengthened the GOP lean, and Luna’s 2024 reelection margin plus fundraising advantage have anchored trader pricing near 72.5% for Republicans. The Democratic nominee, Leela Gray, consolidated her party’s primary in August 2026, yet most polling averages still show Luna ahead by roughly six points. A late August House Majority PAC survey giving Gray a narrow lead introduced some uncertainty, keeping Democratic odds around 28%, but forecasters continue to view the race as structurally favorable to the incumbent heading into November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions