Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart faces Democrat Nicole Locklin in Florida’s 26th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both advanced unopposed through canceled or uncontested August primaries. Díaz-Balart’s strong 2024 reelection performance, combined with Florida’s mid-decade redistricting that favors Republicans overall, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% Republican probability. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, citing the district’s fundamentals and limited Democratic momentum. No major recent developments have altered the trajectory, leaving the race positioned as a likely Republican hold absent unexpected shifts in turnout or national conditions before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$64,799 交易量
$64,799 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
90%
民主黨
10%
$64,799 交易量
$64,799 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$30,028 交易量
90%
民主黨
$34,770 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart faces Democrat Nicole Locklin in Florida’s 26th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both advanced unopposed through canceled or uncontested August primaries. Díaz-Balart’s strong 2024 reelection performance, combined with Florida’s mid-decade redistricting that favors Republicans overall, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% Republican probability. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, citing the district’s fundamentals and limited Democratic momentum. No major recent developments have altered the trajectory, leaving the race positioned as a likely Republican hold absent unexpected shifts in turnout or national conditions before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$64,799結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart faces Democrat Nicole Locklin in Florida’s 26th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both advanced unopposed through canceled or uncontested August primaries. Díaz-Balart’s strong 2024 reelection performance, combined with Florida’s mid-decade redistricting that favors Republicans overall, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% Republican probability. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, citing the district’s fundamentals and limited Democratic momentum. No major recent developments have altered the trajectory, leaving the race positioned as a likely Republican hold absent unexpected shifts in turnout or national conditions before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$64,799結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETIncumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart faces Democrat Nicole Locklin in Florida’s 26th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both advanced unopposed through canceled or uncontested August primaries. Díaz-Balart’s strong 2024 reelection performance, combined with Florida’s mid-decade redistricting that favors Republicans overall, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the 89.5% Republican probability. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, citing the district’s fundamentals and limited Democratic momentum. No major recent developments have altered the trajectory, leaving the race positioned as a likely Republican hold absent unexpected shifts in turnout or national conditions before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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