Montana’s 1st Congressional District remains an open-seat contest after incumbent Ryan Zinke declined to seek re-election. Republican nominee Aaron Flint and Democratic nominee Sam Forstag advanced from their June 2 primaries. The district carries a modest Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 Partisan Voting Index and the prior incumbent’s 2024 margin. A late-June poll showed the race tied at 44 percent each, consistent with trader pricing that places Republicans at 55 percent and Democrats at 40.5 percent. Most nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Likely Republican, though the absence of an incumbent and midterm dynamics introduce uncertainty. No new public polling has emerged since June, leaving fundraising, turnout patterns, and any national environment shifts as the main variables still able to influence the November 3 outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
54%
民主黨
41%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
$5,615 交易量
54%
民主黨
$3,534 交易量
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 1st Congressional District remains an open-seat contest after incumbent Ryan Zinke declined to seek re-election. Republican nominee Aaron Flint and Democratic nominee Sam Forstag advanced from their June 2 primaries. The district carries a modest Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 Partisan Voting Index and the prior incumbent’s 2024 margin. A late-June poll showed the race tied at 44 percent each, consistent with trader pricing that places Republicans at 55 percent and Democrats at 40.5 percent. Most nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Likely Republican, though the absence of an incumbent and midterm dynamics introduce uncertainty. No new public polling has emerged since June, leaving fundraising, turnout patterns, and any national environment shifts as the main variables still able to influence the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
交易量
$9,149結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 1st Congressional District remains an open-seat contest after incumbent Ryan Zinke declined to seek re-election. Republican nominee Aaron Flint and Democratic nominee Sam Forstag advanced from their June 2 primaries. The district carries a modest Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 Partisan Voting Index and the prior incumbent’s 2024 margin. A late-June poll showed the race tied at 44 percent each, consistent with trader pricing that places Republicans at 55 percent and Democrats at 40.5 percent. Most nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Likely Republican, though the absence of an incumbent and midterm dynamics introduce uncertainty. No new public polling has emerged since June, leaving fundraising, turnout patterns, and any national environment shifts as the main variables still able to influence the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,149結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETMontana’s 1st Congressional District remains an open-seat contest after incumbent Ryan Zinke declined to seek re-election. Republican nominee Aaron Flint and Democratic nominee Sam Forstag advanced from their June 2 primaries. The district carries a modest Republican lean, reflected in its R+5 Partisan Voting Index and the prior incumbent’s 2024 margin. A late-June poll showed the race tied at 44 percent each, consistent with trader pricing that places Republicans at 55 percent and Democrats at 40.5 percent. Most nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Likely Republican, though the absence of an incumbent and midterm dynamics introduce uncertainty. No new public polling has emerged since June, leaving fundraising, turnout patterns, and any national environment shifts as the main variables still able to influence the November 3 outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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