A fragmented field of more than a dozen candidates and persistently high undecided rates near 34 percent continue to compress probabilities in the October 17 Vancouver mayoral race. The late-July Pallas Data survey showed Green candidate Pete Fry at 18 percent, incumbent Ken Sim at 14 percent, Vancouver Liberals’ Kareem Allam at 12 percent, and OneCity’s William Azaroff lower, with ABC Vancouver’s Sim facing underwater favorability. Plurality voting amplifies risks of vote splitting among centre-left and progressive contenders, while ABC’s organizational base and name recognition sustain Sim’s position. Trader consensus remains narrow because modest shifts in undecided voters or late consolidation behind one challenger could quickly reorder the leaderboard ahead of election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Pete Fry 25.9%
Ken Sim 24%
威廉·阿扎羅夫 17.7%
卡里姆·阿拉姆 11%
$158,292 交易量
$158,292 交易量

Pete Fry
26%

Ken Sim
24%

威廉·阿扎羅夫
18%

卡里姆·阿拉姆
11%

柯琳·哈德威克
7%

弗雷德·哈丁
10%

約翰·考帕
2%

肖恩·奧爾
2%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

阿曼達·伯羅斯
1%

Kirk LaPointe
1%

提姆·路易斯
<1%
Pete Fry 25.9%
Ken Sim 24%
威廉·阿扎羅夫 17.7%
卡里姆·阿拉姆 11%
$158,292 交易量
$158,292 交易量

Pete Fry
26%

Ken Sim
24%

威廉·阿扎羅夫
18%

卡里姆·阿拉姆
11%

柯琳·哈德威克
7%

弗雷德·哈丁
10%

約翰·考帕
2%

肖恩·奧爾
2%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

阿曼達·伯羅斯
1%

Kirk LaPointe
1%

提姆·路易斯
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A fragmented field of more than a dozen candidates and persistently high undecided rates near 34 percent continue to compress probabilities in the October 17 Vancouver mayoral race. The late-July Pallas Data survey showed Green candidate Pete Fry at 18 percent, incumbent Ken Sim at 14 percent, Vancouver Liberals’ Kareem Allam at 12 percent, and OneCity’s William Azaroff lower, with ABC Vancouver’s Sim facing underwater favorability. Plurality voting amplifies risks of vote splitting among centre-left and progressive contenders, while ABC’s organizational base and name recognition sustain Sim’s position. Trader consensus remains narrow because modest shifts in undecided voters or late consolidation behind one challenger could quickly reorder the leaderboard ahead of election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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