The fragmented field of candidates in Vancouver's October 17 municipal election has kept probabilities tightly clustered, with no contender commanding broad support amid 34 percent undecided voters in late July polling. Incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver faces headwinds from unfavorable ratings, while progressive challengers including Green Party's Pete Fry, OneCity's William Azaroff, and others compete for overlapping bases, raising the prospect of vote splitting that could determine the outcome. Recent surveys show Fry edging Sim by a statistically insignificant margin, and ongoing debates among left-leaning nominees plus nomination processes underscore the lack of consolidation. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, where shifts in undecided preferences or any late coalescence behind a single alternative could quickly alter relative standings before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Ken Sim 24%
Pete Fry 23.7%
威廉·阿扎羅夫 18.4%
卡里姆·阿拉姆 11%
$158,275 交易量
$158,275 交易量

Ken Sim
24%

Pete Fry
24%

威廉·阿扎羅夫
18%

卡里姆·阿拉姆
11%

柯琳·哈德威克
7%

弗雷德·哈丁
10%

約翰·考帕
3%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

阿曼達·伯羅斯
1%

Kirk LaPointe
1%

肖恩·奧爾
1%

提姆·路易斯
<1%
Ken Sim 24%
Pete Fry 23.7%
威廉·阿扎羅夫 18.4%
卡里姆·阿拉姆 11%
$158,275 交易量
$158,275 交易量

Ken Sim
24%

Pete Fry
24%

威廉·阿扎羅夫
18%

卡里姆·阿拉姆
11%

柯琳·哈德威克
7%

弗雷德·哈丁
10%

約翰·考帕
3%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

阿曼達·伯羅斯
1%

Kirk LaPointe
1%

肖恩·奧爾
1%

提姆·路易斯
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented field of candidates in Vancouver's October 17 municipal election has kept probabilities tightly clustered, with no contender commanding broad support amid 34 percent undecided voters in late July polling. Incumbent Ken Sim of ABC Vancouver faces headwinds from unfavorable ratings, while progressive challengers including Green Party's Pete Fry, OneCity's William Azaroff, and others compete for overlapping bases, raising the prospect of vote splitting that could determine the outcome. Recent surveys show Fry edging Sim by a statistically insignificant margin, and ongoing debates among left-leaning nominees plus nomination processes underscore the lack of consolidation. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, where shifts in undecided preferences or any late coalescence behind a single alternative could quickly alter relative standings before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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