The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around incumbent John Joyce. Joyce secured unopposed renomination in the May 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $3.5 million cash on hand compared to challenger Beth Farnham's limited resources. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Potential shifts remain possible through unforeseen events such as a major scandal, significant health development, or abrupt national political realignment that alters turnout patterns in this rural South Central Pennsylvania district.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$17,812 交易量
$17,812 交易量
2026-11-02
約翰·喬伊斯（共和黨）
98%
Beth Farnham（民主黨）
3%
$17,812 交易量
$17,812 交易量
2026-11-02
約翰·喬伊斯（共和黨）
$9,886 交易量
98%
Beth Farnham（民主黨）
$7,927 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around incumbent John Joyce. Joyce secured unopposed renomination in the May 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $3.5 million cash on hand compared to challenger Beth Farnham's limited resources. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Potential shifts remain possible through unforeseen events such as a major scandal, significant health development, or abrupt national political realignment that alters turnout patterns in this rural South Central Pennsylvania district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$17,812結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around incumbent John Joyce. Joyce secured unopposed renomination in the May 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $3.5 million cash on hand compared to challenger Beth Farnham's limited resources. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Potential shifts remain possible through unforeseen events such as a major scandal, significant health development, or abrupt national political realignment that alters turnout patterns in this rural South Central Pennsylvania district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,812結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThe district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus around incumbent John Joyce. Joyce secured unopposed renomination in the May 2026 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $3.5 million cash on hand compared to challenger Beth Farnham's limited resources. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Potential shifts remain possible through unforeseen events such as a major scandal, significant health development, or abrupt national political realignment that alters turnout patterns in this rural South Central Pennsylvania district.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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