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icon for 俄勒岡州州長選舉贏家
選舉·俄勒岡州期中考試

俄勒岡州州長選舉贏家

icon for 俄勒岡州州長選舉贏家
選舉·俄勒岡州期中考試

俄勒岡州州長選舉贏家

Polymarket

$42,572 交易量

Polymarket

$42,572 交易量

icon for 蒂娜·科泰克（民主黨）

蒂娜·科泰克（民主黨）

$23,514 交易量

86%

icon for 克莉絲汀·德拉贊（共和黨）

克莉絲汀·德拉贊（共和黨）

$19,058 交易量

14%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Tina Kotek holds a strong position in the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean and her primary victory with over 83 percent of the vote. Republican Christine Drazan, the 2022 nominee, secured her party's nomination in May but trails in most forecasts, which rate the contest Likely Democratic or Lean Democratic. Recent polling averages show a narrow gap, with some surveys indicating a statistical tie or slight Republican edge, though models incorporating fundamentals project Kotek winning by around 7 points. Scheduled October debates and cross-nominations by minor parties add visibility, while state issues like housing costs, education outcomes, and economic performance shape campaign messaging ahead of the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$42,572
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Tina Kotek holds a strong position in the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean and her primary victory with over 83 percent of the vote. Republican Christine Drazan, the 2022 nominee, secured her party's nomination in May but trails in most forecasts, which rate the contest Likely Democratic or Lean Democratic. Recent polling averages show a narrow gap, with some surveys indicating a statistical tie or slight Republican edge, though models incorporating fundamentals project Kotek winning by around 7 points. Scheduled October debates and cross-nominations by minor parties add visibility, while state issues like housing costs, education outcomes, and economic performance shape campaign messaging ahead of the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$42,572
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"俄勒岡州州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "蒂娜·科泰克（民主黨）" at 86%, followed by "克莉絲汀·德拉贊（共和黨）" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "俄勒岡州州長選舉贏家" has generated $42.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "俄勒岡州州長選舉贏家," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "俄勒岡州州長選舉贏家" is "蒂娜·科泰克（民主黨）" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "克莉絲汀·德拉贊（共和黨）" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "俄勒岡州州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.