Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s D+6 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing Hoyle’s primary win with roughly 75 percent of the vote and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district spanning Eugene, Corvallis, and coastal areas. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, the 2024 nominee who won her primary by a wide margin, has raised competitive funds in recent quarters but faces registration and turnout headwinds typical for the party in this area. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Hoyle aligns with these fundamentals, though late national shifts or unexpected events could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$21,760 交易量
$21,760 交易量
2026-11-02
Val Hoyle（民主黨）
94%
莫妮克·德斯潘（共和黨）
6%
$21,760 交易量
$21,760 交易量
2026-11-02
Val Hoyle（民主黨）
$14,789 交易量
94%
莫妮克·德斯潘（共和黨）
$6,972 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s D+6 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing Hoyle’s primary win with roughly 75 percent of the vote and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district spanning Eugene, Corvallis, and coastal areas. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, the 2024 nominee who won her primary by a wide margin, has raised competitive funds in recent quarters but faces registration and turnout headwinds typical for the party in this area. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Hoyle aligns with these fundamentals, though late national shifts or unexpected events could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$21,760結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s D+6 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing Hoyle’s primary win with roughly 75 percent of the vote and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district spanning Eugene, Corvallis, and coastal areas. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, the 2024 nominee who won her primary by a wide margin, has raised competitive funds in recent quarters but faces registration and turnout headwinds typical for the party in this area. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Hoyle aligns with these fundamentals, though late national shifts or unexpected events could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,760結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETIncumbent Democratic Representative Val Hoyle holds a commanding position in Oregon’s 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s D+6 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing Hoyle’s primary win with roughly 75 percent of the vote and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district spanning Eugene, Corvallis, and coastal areas. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain, the 2024 nominee who won her primary by a wide margin, has raised competitive funds in recent quarters but faces registration and turnout headwinds typical for the party in this area. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for Hoyle aligns with these fundamentals, though late national shifts or unexpected events could narrow the margin in the final weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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