Brad Little holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election due to the state's entrenched Republican majority, reflected in Donald Trump's 36-point margin in 2024 and consistent GOP control of the governorship for decades. As the incumbent seeking a third term, Little secured his party's nomination in the May primary with nearly 59% of the vote against multiple challengers. Democratic nominee Terri Pickens, an attorney who won her primary with 61%, faces structural headwinds in a state without a Democratic governor since the 1990s. Recent polling averages show Little ahead by 20+ points, aligning with forecasters' "Solid Republican" ratings. Trader consensus at 98% for Little incorporates these fundamentals, though events such as major scandals or unexpected turnout shifts in the final weeks before November 3 could still alter the margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$23,890 交易量
$23,890 交易量

布萊德·利特爾(共和黨)
98%

泰莉·皮肯斯(民主黨)
2%
$23,890 交易量
$23,890 交易量

布萊德·利特爾(共和黨)
98%

泰莉·皮肯斯(民主黨)
2%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Brad Little holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election due to the state's entrenched Republican majority, reflected in Donald Trump's 36-point margin in 2024 and consistent GOP control of the governorship for decades. As the incumbent seeking a third term, Little secured his party's nomination in the May primary with nearly 59% of the vote against multiple challengers. Democratic nominee Terri Pickens, an attorney who won her primary with 61%, faces structural headwinds in a state without a Democratic governor since the 1990s. Recent polling averages show Little ahead by 20+ points, aligning with forecasters' "Solid Republican" ratings. Trader consensus at 98% for Little incorporates these fundamentals, though events such as major scandals or unexpected turnout shifts in the final weeks before November 3 could still alter the margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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