Incumbent Republican Brad Little's renomination in the May 2026 primary with 59 percent of the vote positions him as the clear frontrunner against Democratic nominee Terri Pickens in the November general election. Idaho's established voting patterns in statewide contests, combined with the incumbent's institutional advantages and the state's limited recent Democratic success in gubernatorial races, underpin the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Historical margins and primary dynamics reinforce expectations of continuity. Scenarios that could narrow this lead include a major scandal affecting the Republican nominee, a significant health event, or an unforeseen national political shift altering turnout, though such developments remain low-probability based on established state trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
94%
民主黨
3%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
$4,491 交易量
94%
民主黨
$3,518 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Brad Little's renomination in the May 2026 primary with 59 percent of the vote positions him as the clear frontrunner against Democratic nominee Terri Pickens in the November general election. Idaho's established voting patterns in statewide contests, combined with the incumbent's institutional advantages and the state's limited recent Democratic success in gubernatorial races, underpin the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Historical margins and primary dynamics reinforce expectations of continuity. Scenarios that could narrow this lead include a major scandal affecting the Republican nominee, a significant health event, or an unforeseen national political shift altering turnout, though such developments remain low-probability based on established state trends.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$8,009結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Brad Little's renomination in the May 2026 primary with 59 percent of the vote positions him as the clear frontrunner against Democratic nominee Terri Pickens in the November general election. Idaho's established voting patterns in statewide contests, combined with the incumbent's institutional advantages and the state's limited recent Democratic success in gubernatorial races, underpin the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Historical margins and primary dynamics reinforce expectations of continuity. Scenarios that could narrow this lead include a major scandal affecting the Republican nominee, a significant health event, or an unforeseen national political shift altering turnout, though such developments remain low-probability based on established state trends.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$8,009結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Little's renomination in the May 2026 primary with 59 percent of the vote positions him as the clear frontrunner against Democratic nominee Terri Pickens in the November general election. Idaho's established voting patterns in statewide contests, combined with the incumbent's institutional advantages and the state's limited recent Democratic success in gubernatorial races, underpin the strong trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Historical margins and primary dynamics reinforce expectations of continuity. Scenarios that could narrow this lead include a major scandal affecting the Republican nominee, a significant health event, or an unforeseen national political shift altering turnout, though such developments remain low-probability based on established state trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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