Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat encompassing eastern and rural areas around Boise, where longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote. Simpson’s decades of service, substantial fundraising advantage, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus around his commanding position ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late-cycle shifts could still arise from turnout swings, agricultural or energy policy salience, or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$34,399 交易量
$34,399 交易量
2026-11-02
麥克·辛普森（共和黨）
95%
Ellie Gilbreath（民主黨）
6%
$34,399 交易量
$34,399 交易量
2026-11-02
麥克·辛普森（共和黨）
$14,241 交易量
95%
Ellie Gilbreath（民主黨）
$20,158 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat encompassing eastern and rural areas around Boise, where longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote. Simpson’s decades of service, substantial fundraising advantage, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus around his commanding position ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late-cycle shifts could still arise from turnout swings, agricultural or energy policy salience, or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$34,399結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat encompassing eastern and rural areas around Boise, where longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote. Simpson’s decades of service, substantial fundraising advantage, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus around his commanding position ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late-cycle shifts could still arise from turnout swings, agricultural or energy policy salience, or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,399結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETIdaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat encompassing eastern and rural areas around Boise, where longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote. Simpson’s decades of service, substantial fundraising advantage, and the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns underpin trader consensus around his commanding position ahead of the November general election. Democratic nominee Ellie Gilbreath advanced from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Late-cycle shifts could still arise from turnout swings, agricultural or energy policy salience, or unforeseen campaign developments before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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