In Iowa’s open 2nd Congressional District, trader odds remain near even because the seat vacated by Republican Ashley Hinson sits in a district Donald Trump carried by roughly 10 points in 2024 yet features a well-funded Democratic challenger. State Representative Lindsay James secured DCCC Red to Blue status and leads recent polling by 1–3 points after winning her primary with 58 percent. Republican nominee Joe Mitchell, a former state lawmaker and Trump administration official, emphasizes term limits and insider critiques while highlighting James’s high absentee rate from Iowa House votes during the campaign. James has countered with ads on housing protections and cost-of-living issues. Two scheduled October debates and continued fundraising gaps offer the clearest near-term catalysts that could widen or close the current narrow margin before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$10,006 交易量
$10,006 交易量
2026-11-02
林賽·詹姆斯（民主黨）
52%
喬·米切爾（共和黨）
50%
$10,006 交易量
$10,006 交易量
2026-11-02
林賽·詹姆斯（民主黨）
$4,837 交易量
52%
喬·米切爾（共和黨）
$5,168 交易量
50%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Iowa’s open 2nd Congressional District, trader odds remain near even because the seat vacated by Republican Ashley Hinson sits in a district Donald Trump carried by roughly 10 points in 2024 yet features a well-funded Democratic challenger. State Representative Lindsay James secured DCCC Red to Blue status and leads recent polling by 1–3 points after winning her primary with 58 percent. Republican nominee Joe Mitchell, a former state lawmaker and Trump administration official, emphasizes term limits and insider critiques while highlighting James’s high absentee rate from Iowa House votes during the campaign. James has countered with ads on housing protections and cost-of-living issues. Two scheduled October debates and continued fundraising gaps offer the clearest near-term catalysts that could widen or close the current narrow margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$10,006結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Iowa’s open 2nd Congressional District, trader odds remain near even because the seat vacated by Republican Ashley Hinson sits in a district Donald Trump carried by roughly 10 points in 2024 yet features a well-funded Democratic challenger. State Representative Lindsay James secured DCCC Red to Blue status and leads recent polling by 1–3 points after winning her primary with 58 percent. Republican nominee Joe Mitchell, a former state lawmaker and Trump administration official, emphasizes term limits and insider critiques while highlighting James’s high absentee rate from Iowa House votes during the campaign. James has countered with ads on housing protections and cost-of-living issues. Two scheduled October debates and continued fundraising gaps offer the clearest near-term catalysts that could widen or close the current narrow margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,006結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETIn Iowa’s open 2nd Congressional District, trader odds remain near even because the seat vacated by Republican Ashley Hinson sits in a district Donald Trump carried by roughly 10 points in 2024 yet features a well-funded Democratic challenger. State Representative Lindsay James secured DCCC Red to Blue status and leads recent polling by 1–3 points after winning her primary with 58 percent. Republican nominee Joe Mitchell, a former state lawmaker and Trump administration official, emphasizes term limits and insider critiques while highlighting James’s high absentee rate from Iowa House votes during the campaign. James has countered with ads on housing protections and cost-of-living issues. Two scheduled October debates and continued fundraising gaps offer the clearest near-term catalysts that could widen or close the current narrow margin before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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