Incumbent Democrat Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District due to the seat’s long-standing Democratic lean, including consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and a 68% share in 2024. As a senior House Democrat with strong name recognition and fundraising advantages, Neguse ran unopposed in the June 2026 primary. Republican nominee Kelley Dennison, a first-time candidate and massage therapist who won her low-turnout primary, lacks comparable resources or profile in this north-central district anchored by Boulder and Fort Collins. Trader consensus at 95% for Neguse reflects these structural factors. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment, though none have materialized in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$40,731 交易量
$40,731 交易量
2026-11-02
喬·內谷斯（民主黨）
95%
凱利·丹尼森（共和黨）
3%
$40,731 交易量
$40,731 交易量
2026-11-02
喬·內谷斯（民主黨）
$19,162 交易量
95%
凱利·丹尼森（共和黨）
$21,569 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District due to the seat’s long-standing Democratic lean, including consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and a 68% share in 2024. As a senior House Democrat with strong name recognition and fundraising advantages, Neguse ran unopposed in the June 2026 primary. Republican nominee Kelley Dennison, a first-time candidate and massage therapist who won her low-turnout primary, lacks comparable resources or profile in this north-central district anchored by Boulder and Fort Collins. Trader consensus at 95% for Neguse reflects these structural factors. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment, though none have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$40,731結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District due to the seat’s long-standing Democratic lean, including consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and a 68% share in 2024. As a senior House Democrat with strong name recognition and fundraising advantages, Neguse ran unopposed in the June 2026 primary. Republican nominee Kelley Dennison, a first-time candidate and massage therapist who won her low-turnout primary, lacks comparable resources or profile in this north-central district anchored by Boulder and Fort Collins. Trader consensus at 95% for Neguse reflects these structural factors. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment, though none have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$40,731結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado’s 2nd Congressional District due to the seat’s long-standing Democratic lean, including consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and a 68% share in 2024. As a senior House Democrat with strong name recognition and fundraising advantages, Neguse ran unopposed in the June 2026 primary. Republican nominee Kelley Dennison, a first-time candidate and massage therapist who won her low-turnout primary, lacks comparable resources or profile in this north-central district anchored by Boulder and Fort Collins. Trader consensus at 95% for Neguse reflects these structural factors. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment, though none have materialized in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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