Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's entrenched Republican lean, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1980 and recent presidential margins have exceeded 30 points. Risch secured his party's nomination easily in the May primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and long incumbency. Independent challenger Todd Achilles, a former state representative who entered after the Democratic nominee withdrew in July, has raised meaningful funds but faces structural barriers in a race rated safely Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with polling showing Risch ahead by double digits. A major shift would require an unforeseen late development, such as a significant scandal or health event, given the consistent partisan fundamentals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉姆·里施（共和黨） 95.6%
民主黨 3.2%
Todd Achilles（無黨籍） 1.1%
$33,321 交易量
$33,321 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·里施（共和黨）
96%
民主黨
3%
Todd Achilles（無黨籍）
1%
吉姆·里施（共和黨） 95.6%
民主黨 3.2%
Todd Achilles（無黨籍） 1.1%
$33,321 交易量
$33,321 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·里施（共和黨）
$18,749 交易量
96%
民主黨
$14,397 交易量
3%
Todd Achilles（無黨籍）
$175 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's entrenched Republican lean, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1980 and recent presidential margins have exceeded 30 points. Risch secured his party's nomination easily in the May primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and long incumbency. Independent challenger Todd Achilles, a former state representative who entered after the Democratic nominee withdrew in July, has raised meaningful funds but faces structural barriers in a race rated safely Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with polling showing Risch ahead by double digits. A major shift would require an unforeseen late development, such as a significant scandal or health event, given the consistent partisan fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$33,321結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's entrenched Republican lean, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1980 and recent presidential margins have exceeded 30 points. Risch secured his party's nomination easily in the May primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and long incumbency. Independent challenger Todd Achilles, a former state representative who entered after the Democratic nominee withdrew in July, has raised meaningful funds but faces structural barriers in a race rated safely Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with polling showing Risch ahead by double digits. A major shift would require an unforeseen late development, such as a significant scandal or health event, given the consistent partisan fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$33,321結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETIncumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding position in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's entrenched Republican lean, where no Democrat has won a Senate seat since 1980 and recent presidential margins have exceeded 30 points. Risch secured his party's nomination easily in the May primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and long incumbency. Independent challenger Todd Achilles, a former state representative who entered after the Democratic nominee withdrew in July, has raised meaningful funds but faces structural barriers in a race rated safely Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with polling showing Risch ahead by double digits. A major shift would require an unforeseen late development, such as a significant scandal or health event, given the consistent partisan fundamentals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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